Is Firm-Level Political Risk Priced in the Equity Option Market?

被引:4
作者
Ho, Thang [1 ]
Kagkadis, Anastasios [2 ]
Wang, George [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Bradford, Sch Management, Bradford, England
[2] Lancaster Univ Management Sch, Lancaster, England
关键词
CROSS-SECTION; POLICY UNCERTAINTY; STOCK RETURNS; VOLATILITY; EQUILIBRIUM; ILLIQUIDITY; CONSTRAINTS; INFORMATION; DEMAND; PREMIA;
D O I
10.1093/rapstu/raad013
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We find a negative relation between firm-level political risk and future delta-hedged equity option returns. A quasi-natural experiment based on Brexit corroborates this finding since after the referendum there is a decrease in the option returns of the positive-Brexit exposure firms. The predictability is driven by the jump risk component of political uncertainty, is more pronounced in periods of high intermediary constraints, and is stronger among high-demand pressure options but weaker among politically active firms. Finally, consistent with a risk-based explanation, investors of options on politically risky firms are compensated with high returns when major unexpected political shocks happen. (JEL G13, G18)
引用
收藏
页码:153 / 195
页数:43
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