Global trends in the incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer based on geographic location, socioeconomic status, and demographic shift

被引:3
作者
Sharma, Prateek [1 ]
Vuthaluru, Srineil [1 ]
Chowdhury, Sanjib [1 ]
Are, Chandrakanth [1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ,5 ]
机构
[1] Univ Nebraska Med Ctr, Dept Surg, Div Surg Oncol, Omaha, NE USA
[2] Univ Nebraska Med Ctr, Surg Oncol & Global Hlth, Omaha, NE 68198 USA
[3] Univ Nebraska Med Ctr, Grad Med Educ DIO, Omaha, NE 68198 USA
[4] Univ Nebraska Med Ctr, Dept Surg, Educ, Omaha, NE 68198 USA
[5] Univ Nebraska Med Ctr, Omaha, NE 68198 USA
关键词
demographic shift; global pancreatic cancer burden; Human Development Index (HDI); pancreatic cancer gender disparity; predictive trends based on GLOBOCAN 2020; DEATHS; BURDEN; INDEX; RISK;
D O I
10.1002/jso.27462
中图分类号
R73 [肿瘤学];
学科分类号
100214 ;
摘要
Background: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is a lethal malignancy with a significantly rising rate of incidence and mortality. This study aims to describe the influence of geography, socioeconomic development (based on the Human Development Index [HDI]), gender, and demographic shift on the temporal trends in the global burden of PC.Methods: Data (2020-2040) relating to the incidence, mortality of PC, and demographic shifts based on continents and HDI areas were extracted from GLOBOCAN 2020.Results: PC was associated with a higher socioeconomic status. Asia contributed to the majority of the burden, led by China. Advanced age (>= 65 years) contributed to the majority of the burden in all socioeconomic regions except in Medium HDI and Low HDI countries, where the younger population (<65 years) contributed more. Females contributed to a higher burden in certain countries. Future trends for 2040 showed a >60% increase in the incidence and mortality of PC with an associated demographic shift.Conclusion: The global burden of PC is expected to rise significantly over the next few decades regardless of geography, socioeconomic development, age, and gender. Advance knowledge of this data can help to formulate strategies and public health policies to specifically target countries and populations at risk.
引用
收藏
页码:989 / 1002
页数:14
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