A meta-analysis on wood trade flow modeling concepts

被引:2
作者
Mathieu, Valentin [1 ]
Roda, Jean-Marc [2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] Univ Strasbourg, Univ Lorraine, AgroParisTech, CNRS,INRAE,BETA, 14 rue Girardet, F-54042 Nancy, France
[2] CIRAD, DGDRS, Jakarta 12730, Indonesia
[3] Univ Putra Malaysia, INTROP UPM, Serdang 43400, Selangor Darul, Malaysia
关键词
Sustainability; Forest products; Modeling; Trade flow; Urbanization; MATERIAL STOCK; DYNAMIC MATERIAL; CLIMATE-CHANGE; FOREST CONSERVATION; PRODUCTS; CONSUMPTION; IMPACT; CHINA; STEEL; CONSTRUCTION;
D O I
10.1016/j.forpol.2023.102930
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Papers on forests and forest products often address sustainability and climate change issues. Wood trade flow models study production and exchanges of wood products in order to better understand and analyze these issues. To date, there has not been a complete overview of these models' objectives, or of the wood trade flow factors they use. We expect wood trade flow models with different objectives to rely on a wide diversity of factors. We performed a meta-analysis on 499 publications about wood trade flow modeling, published between 1972 and 2022 and recorded in the Scopus database. We found that three groups of model objectives constitute most of the literature: understanding trade mechanisms (5% of the literature), forecasting trends (9%), and policy analysis (99%). There is a degree of overlap between these categories, as 14% of the literature uses wood trade flow models for at least two of the latter objectives. Within the category of models exploring or simulating policies, about 37% of papers address major economic disruption issues, 40% concern environmental issues, while 49% relate to energy, welfare or trade policies. Altogether, these models use a narrow set of four categories of factors: price factors (6% of the literature), the interdependency of production factors (11%), policy factors (15%), and stock and trade quantity factors (49%), neglecting other possible factors. This study provides the first compre-hensive overview and categorization of the models' objectives in relation to their factors. Most importantly, the literature rarely uses certain factors that are considered in other commodities or economic sectors. In particular, the central role of urban dynamics in shaping material trade flows remains unexplored overall by wood trade flow modeling. Compared to the perception of what the driving forces of the forest sector economics have been in recent decades, new issues that have risen require the integration of new categories of factors.
引用
收藏
页数:11
相关论文
共 94 条
  • [1] Aria M., 2020, PACKAGEBIBLIOMETRIX
  • [2] Ballew B.S., 2009, Journal of Electronic Resources in Medical Libraries, V6, P245, DOI 10.1080/15424060903167252
  • [3] A SURVEY OF SYSTEMS-ANALYSIS MODELS IN FORESTRY AND THE FOREST PRODUCTS INDUSTRIES
    BARE, BB
    BRIGGS, DG
    ROISE, JP
    SCHREUDER, GF
    [J]. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 1984, 18 (01) : 1 - 18
  • [4] Deepening the territorial Life Cycle Assessment approach with partial equilibrium modelling: First insights from an application to a wood energy incentive in a French region
    Beaussier, T.
    Caurla, S.
    Bellon-Maurel, V.
    Delacote, P.
    Loiseau, E.
    [J]. RESOURCES CONSERVATION AND RECYCLING, 2022, 179
  • [5] Dynamic material flow analysis for Norway's dwelling stock
    Bergsdal, Havard
    Brattebo, Helge
    Bohne, Rolf A.
    Mueller, Daniel B.
    [J]. BUILDING RESEARCH AND INFORMATION, 2007, 35 (05) : 557 - 570
  • [6] BUONGIORNO J, 1978, FOREST SCI, V24, P231
  • [7] Forest sector modeling: A synthesis of econometrics, mathematical programming, and system dynamics methods
    Buongiorno, J
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF FORECASTING, 1996, 12 (03) : 329 - 343
  • [8] Buongiorno J., 2000, MODELING GLOBAL TIMB
  • [9] Buongiorno J., 2003, GLOBAL FOREST PRODUC, DOI DOI 10.1016/B978-0-12-141362-0.X5000-6
  • [10] Buongiorno J., 1998, LONGTERM FORECASTING, V19, DOI [10.22004/ag.econ.14478, DOI 10.22004/AG.ECON.14478]