Operating Status Prediction Model at EV Charging Stations With Fusing Spatiotemporal Graph Convolutional Network

被引:25
|
作者
Su, Su [1 ]
Li, Yujing [1 ]
Chen, Qifang [1 ]
Xia, Mingchao [1 ]
Yamashita, Koji [2 ]
Jurasz, Jakub [3 ]
机构
[1] Beijing Jiaotong Univ, Sch Elect Engn, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China
[2] Univ Calif Riverside, Dept Elect & Comp Engn, Riverside, CA 92521 USA
[3] Wroclaw Univ Sci & Technol, Fac Environm Engn, PL-50370 Wroclaw, Poland
关键词
Charging stations; Roads; Predictive models; Electric vehicle charging; Autoregressive processes; Real-time systems; Data models; Charging station; graph convolutional network (GCN); multistep prediction; operating status; traffic; VEHICLE-ROUTING PROBLEM; SPEED PREDICTION; TIME;
D O I
10.1109/TTE.2022.3192285
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
This article proposes the operating status prediction model at electric vehicle (EV) charging stations based on the spatiotemporal graph convolutional network (SGCN). The SGCN combines graph convolutional network (GCN) and the gated recurrent unit (GRU), alleviating the queuing time at charging stations due to the lack of information for EV users. First, an urban charging station-traffic flow model is established to portray the interrelationship between charging stations and traffic. Second, a multistep prediction model based on SGCN for operating status at charging stations is proposed to forecast the occupancy of charging stations over the next tens of minutes. The comparison case study with the forecast and actual data reveals that the mean forecast error is around 19.21% when estimating 18 min ahead. Incrementing errors are subtle even after adding random noise to the original data. Finally, the model is applied to charging guidance decisions. Our model can reduce the number of EV queuing by 60% during high charging demand. It also shortens the average charging waiting time by 4 min.
引用
收藏
页码:114 / 129
页数:16
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