Cross-sectional implications of dynamic asset pricing with stochastic volatility and ambiguity aversion

被引:1
作者
Lago-Balsalobre, Ruben [1 ]
Rojo-Suarez, Javier [1 ]
Alonso-Conde, Ana B. [1 ]
机构
[1] Rey Juan Carlos Univ, Dept Business Adm, Paseo Artilleros S-N, Madrid 28032, Spain
关键词
Ambiguity; Macroeconomic volatility; Vintage consumption data; Dynamic asset pricing; Economic turmoil; CONSUMPTION-BASED EXPLANATION; LONG-RUN; RISK; UNCERTAINTY; RETURNS; RESOLUTION;
D O I
10.1016/j.najef.2023.101909
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Building on recent research that highlights the importance of macroeconomic volatility and ambiguity aversion in explaining the dynamics of stock returns, in this paper we propose a dy-namic asset pricing model that simultaneously accounts for stochastic macroeconomic volatility and ambiguity, assuming that investors deal with uncertainty about the mechanics of macro-economic fluctuations using first-release consumption and revisions to aggregate consumption on vintage data. Our results show that the proposed model captures a large fraction of the cross-sectional variation of excess returns for a wide range of market anomaly portfolios. Further-more, while the price of risk for ambiguity is positive and significant for the vast majority of assets under study, macroeconomic volatility yields ambiguous outcomes, although it significantly in-creases the explanatory power of the model for specific assets. Our results suggest that macro-economic volatility and ambiguity complement each other in explaining the cross-sectional behavior of stock returns.
引用
收藏
页数:16
相关论文
共 52 条
[1]   The Rich Domain of Uncertainty: Source Functions and Their Experimental Implementation [J].
Abdellaoui, Mohammed ;
Baillon, Aurelien ;
Placido, Laetitia ;
Wakker, Peter P. .
AMERICAN ECONOMIC REVIEW, 2011, 101 (02) :695-723
[2]   Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty [J].
Baker, Scott R. ;
Bloom, Nicholas ;
Davis, Steven J. .
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS, 2016, 131 (04) :1593-1636
[3]   Risks for the long run: A potential resolution of asset pricing puzzles [J].
Bansal, R ;
Yaron, A .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2004, 59 (04) :1481-1509
[4]   Volatility, the Macroeconomy, and Asset Prices [J].
Bansal, Ravi ;
Kiku, Dana ;
Shaliastovich, Ivan ;
Yaron, Amir .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2014, 69 (06) :2471-2511
[5]   Consumption Volatility Risk [J].
Boguth, Oliver ;
Kuehn, Lars-Alexander .
JOURNAL OF FINANCE, 2013, 68 (06) :2589-2615
[6]   Asset pricing with data revisions [J].
Borup, Daniel ;
Schutte, Erik Christian Montes .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL MARKETS, 2022, 59
[7]   Asset pricing and ambiguity: Empirical evidence [J].
Brenner, Menachem ;
Izhakian, Yehuda .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 2018, 130 (03) :503-531
[8]   An intertemporal CAPM with stochastic volatility [J].
Campbell, John Y. ;
Giglio, Stefano ;
Polk, Christopher ;
Turley, Robert .
JOURNAL OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 2018, 128 (02) :207-233
[9]  
Campbell JohnY., 2018, Financial decisions and markets: a course in asset pricing
[10]   By force of habit: A consumption-based explanation of aggregate stock market behavior [J].
Campbell, JY ;
Cochrane, JH .
JOURNAL OF POLITICAL ECONOMY, 1999, 107 (02) :205-251