Diagnostic accuracy of NI-RADS for prediction of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Objectives This study aimed to assess the diagnostic performance of NI-RADS for the prediction of recurrence in patients treated for Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma (HNSCC).Methods A literature search was conducted using various databases to identify relevant articles published from June 2016 onwards. We included studies reporting the diagnostic accuracy of NI-RADS in distinguishing recurrence in patients undergoing imaging surveillance, with pathologic results and/or follow-up as the reference standard. Summary estimates of diagnostic accuracy in terms of sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (LR +), negative likelihood ratio (LR -), and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) were calculated with the hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) model. Meta-regression and subgroup analyses were conducted to investigate different clinical settings. Study quality was evaluated using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool.Results A total of 12 studies were included in the current meta-analysis. The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.69 (95% CI 0.59-0.79) and 0.94 (95% CI 0.89-0.97), respectively. For the primary site, the pooled summary estimates were 0.67 (95% CI 0.53-0.78) and 0.95 (95% CI 0.90-0.97), for the nodal sites were 0.64 (95% CI 0.44-0.80) and 0.99 (95% CI 0.98-0.99), respectively. The recurrence rate for NI-RADS categories 1-3 was 0.03 (95% CI 0.02-0.05), 0.13 (95% CI 0.10-0.15), and 0.77 (95% CI 0.73-0.81). Meta-regression revealed that the type of analysis (per person vs. per site) and number of sites (<= 200 vs. > 200) were significant factors associated with heterogeneity.Conclusions NI-RADS demonstrated high specificity but moderate sensitivity in patients after treatment for HNSCC. Summary estimates showed a significantly higher malignancy rate for NI-RADS category 3 compared to category 2.