Should dominant contracts move to nearby months?--Evidence from Chinese agricultural futures markets

被引:1
作者
Xie, Wei [1 ]
An, Yi [1 ]
机构
[1] China Agr Univ, Coll Econ & Management, 17 Qinghua Rd East, Beijing, Peoples R China
关键词
Liquidity distribution; agricultural futures; price discovery; dominant contracts; PRICE DISCOVERY; COMMODITY FUTURES; LIVE CATTLE; CASH;
D O I
10.1080/00036846.2022.2131718
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
China's agricultural futures market has long exhibited a unique phenomenon: the distribution of dominant contracts has always followed the 'January-May-September' pattern. Behind this phenomenon is the prominent problem of the deferred and discontinuous distribution of dominant contracts, which regulators hope to solve. Based on Chinese corn and cotton futures, this study uses the method of information leadership shares to investigate the price discovery ability of dominant and nearby contracts. The empirical results show that the deferred and discontinuous distribution of dominant contracts does not hinder the price discovery function. When dominant contracts are rolled over, this does not mean that the price discovery function simultaneously converts. Measures to accelerate the transfer of dominant contracts from deferred to nearby months could not fundamentally eliminate this phenomenon. A reasonable adjustment for liquidity distribution shall be considered the market's self-regulation.
引用
收藏
页码:4817 / 4840
页数:24
相关论文
共 50 条
[41]   Price discovery and price leadership of various investor types: evidence from Taiwan futures markets [J].
Wei-Kuang Chen ;
Ching-Ting Lin ;
Cheng-Yi Shiu .
Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 2019, 53 :601-631
[42]   Extreme risk spillovers between US and Chinese agricultural futures markets in crises: A dependence-switching copula-CoVaR model [J].
Hu, Xin ;
Zhu, Bo ;
Zhang, Bokai ;
Zeng, Lidan .
PLOS ONE, 2024, 19 (03)
[43]   Are tightened trading rules always bad? Evidence from the Chinese index futures market [J].
Lin, Hai ;
Wang, You .
QUANTITATIVE FINANCE, 2018, 18 (09) :1453-1470
[44]   Extreme risk transmission channels between the stock index futures and spot markets: Evidence from China [J].
Jian, Zhihong ;
Li, Xupei ;
Zhu, Zhican .
NORTH AMERICAN JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, 2022, 59
[45]   An empirical examination of the lead-lag relationship between spot and futures markets: Evidence from Thailand [J].
Judge, Amrit ;
Reancharoen, Tipprapa .
PACIFIC-BASIN FINANCE JOURNAL, 2014, 29 :335-358
[46]   Information Flow Across the Futures Term Structure: Evidence From Chinese Corn Futures Market [J].
Xie, Wei ;
An, Yi .
JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 2025, 45 (08) :896-916
[47]   Order Imbalance and Intraday Price Discovery: Evidence from Chinese Stock Markets [J].
Zhang, Zhaohui ;
Wang, Jiamin ;
Bremer, Ronald .
REVIEW OF PACIFIC BASIN FINANCIAL MARKETS AND POLICIES, 2011, 14 (04) :693-714
[48]   Information Flow Between Forward and Spot Markets: Evidence From the Chinese Renminbi [J].
Tong, Jiadong ;
Wang, Zijun ;
Yang, Jian .
JOURNAL OF FUTURES MARKETS, 2016, 36 (07) :695-718
[49]   Intraday price discovery and volatility transmission between the dual-listed stock index futures and spot markets - new evidence from India [J].
Sundararajan, Sivakumar ;
Balasubramanian, Senthil Arasu .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF EMERGING MARKETS, 2025, 20 (05) :1888-1907
[50]   Conditional Volatility Persistence and Realized Volatility Asymmetry: Evidence from the Chinese Stock Markets [J].
Su, Fei ;
Wang, Lei .
EMERGING MARKETS FINANCE AND TRADE, 2020, 56 (14) :3252-3269