Public health spending in Sub-Saharan Africa: exploring transmission mechanisms using the latent growth curve mediation model

In response to the imperatives of universal health coverage, structural factors that may hinder the effectiveness of increased spending in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) need attention. This study assessed the mediating role of these factors in domestic general government health expenditure (DGGHE) effects to propose solutions for improving population health outcomes (PHO). The analysis used the Latent Growth Curve Mediation Model (LGCMM) approach within the structural equation model (SEM) framework for panel data from 42 SSA countries from 2015 to 2018. The findings were that malaria and female education formed a channel through which DGGHE imparted its effects on DALY in SSA, and these effects were achieved via the specific path from the DGGHE slope to the DALY slope, via malaria and female education slopes. However, the paper found no evidence of immunization coverage mediating the relationship between DGGHE and DALY in SSA. The paper concludes that structural factors affect the effectiveness of DGGHE on PHO, implying that governments should emphasize existing programs to fight against malaria and increase immunization coverage. center dot Sub-Saharan Africa has many mediating factors acting as barriers to the effect of investments in health.center dot The Latent Growth Curve Mediation Model is used to assist the understanding of such factors.center dot The mediation effect (transmission mechanisms) of these factors must be understood for proper policymaking in favour of universal health coverage.