Predictive Factors of Intestinal Ischaemia in Adhesive Small Bowel Obstruction

Objective: To identify the predictive factors of intestinal ischaemia in adhesive small bowel obstruction (ASBO) and develop an intestinal ischaemia risk score. Study Design: Observational study. Place and Duration of the Study: Department of General Surgery, Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Jinan, Shandong, China, from January 2017 to February 2022. Methodology: ASBO was determined by findings at laparotomy. The assessment of small bowel's viability was conducted through surgical inspection and subsequent histological examination of the surgical specimen. Univariate and multivariate analyses were conducted to ascertain the risk factors associated with intestinal ischaemia. Results: In total, 79 patients were included. Factors entered into multivariate analysis associated with intestinal ischaemia were; rebound tenderness (odds ratio (OR): 7.8, 95% confidence interval (CI):1.7-35.3; p=0.008), procalcitonin (PCT) >0.5 ng/mL (OR: 11.7, 95% CI: 2.3-58.1; p=0.003), and reduced bowel wall enhancement on computerised tomography(CT) scan (OR: 12.2, 95% CI:2.4-61.5; p=0.003). Among patients with 0, 1, 2, and 3 factors, the rate of intestinal ischaemia increased from 0% to 49%, 72%, and 100%, respectively. According to the number of risk factors, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the determination of intestinal ischaemia was 0.848 (95% CI: 0.764-0.932). Conclusion: Rebound tenderness, PCT levels >0.5 ng/mL, and reduced bowel wall enhancement are risk factors of intestinal ischemic injury that require surgery within the context of ASBO. These factors need to be closely monitored that could assist clinicians in avoiding unnecessary laparotomies and selecting patients eligible for surgery.