Clinical Evolution of Sporadic Medullary Thyroid Carcinoma With Biochemical Incomplete Response After Initial Treatment

Context The clinical response after surgery is a determinant in the management of patients with medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). In case of excellent or structural incomplete response, the follow-up strategies are well designed. Conversely, in case of biochemical incomplete response (BiR) the management is not clearly defined. Objective This work aimed to evaluate the overall and per-site prevalence of structural disease detection in sporadic MTC patients with BiR and to assess the predictive value of various clinical, biochemical, and genetic features. Methods We evaluated data of 599 consecutive patients surgically treated for sporadic MTC (2000-2018) and followed-up at the endocrine unit of the University Hospital of Pisa. Results After a median of 5 months from surgery, 145 of 599 (24.2%) patients were classified as BiR. Structural disease was detected in 64 of 145 (44.1%), after a median time of 3.3 years. In 73.6%, structural disease was detected at a single site, prevalently cervical lymph nodes. Among several others, at the time of first evaluation after surgery, only basal calcitonin (bCTN) and stage IVa/b were independent predictive factors. Also, structural disease was more frequent in patients with shorter CTN doubling time and somatic RET mutation. Conclusion In sporadic MTC patients with BiR, the risk of detection of structural disease was about 50% at 10 years. Higher bCTN levels and staging predicted the risk of detecting structural disease. According to these findings, stricter follow-up should be reserved for MTC with BiR and elevated values of bCTN and to those with an advanced stage. Long follow-up should be considered for all BiR patients since 50% of them develop structural disease within 10 years.