Dynamic volatility spillover between oil and marine shipping industry

被引:17
作者
Riaz, Adeel [1 ]
Xingong, Li [1 ]
Jiao, Zhilun [2 ,3 ]
Shahbaz, Muhammad [4 ]
机构
[1] Henan Univ, Business Sch, Kaifeng, Henan, Peoples R China
[2] Nankai Univ, Coll Econ & Social Dev, Tianjin, Peoples R China
[3] Nankai Univ, Lab Behav Econ & Policy Simulat, Tianjin, Peoples R China
[4] Beijing Inst Technol, Sch Management & Econ, Beijing 100081, Peoples R China
关键词
Oil volatility; Volatility spillovers; Marine shipping industry; Oil price risk; INTERNATIONAL CRUDE-OIL; IMPULSE-RESPONSE ANALYSIS; PRICE SHOCKS; STOCK-MARKET; SPEED OPTIMIZATION; CLEAN ENERGY; RETURNS; IMPACT; RISK; COMMODITY;
D O I
10.1016/j.egyr.2023.02.025
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
Oil consumption not only makes up a large percentage of the overall operating expenses for the marine shipping industry, besides that, the tanker sector is a major carrier of global oil supply, which magnifies the relevance of oil market for the shipping industry. In this backdrop, the following study examines the volatility transmission between marine shipping industry's tanker and dry cargo market and oil market using daily data from May 2006 to August 2021 by employing spillover index methodology. The empirical results suggest pronounced spillovers for the tanker market while lower spillovers are observed for dry cargo market, indicating the well-integrated tanker market in comparison to dry cargo sector and oil market. The volatility in oil prices contributed higher spillovers in the tanker market, and remained a net contributor. The volatility in oil prices is a significant source of the volatility transmission during periods of the sudden drop in oil prices coupled with the higher volatility in oil market, and is a net receiver during stable periods. The period of higher spillovers lasts longer for the tanker sector as compared to dry cargo sector. In the particular case of dry cargo market, the smaller (larger) the size of the vessels, the greater (lower) are the spillovers observed (From and To). Hedging turns out be irrelevant during turmoil periods, as the comovement between shipping and oil market becomes stronger. The spillovers are pronounced during the period of financial crisis, COVID-19 and 2014-2016, owing to the significant fluctuations in oil prices and a troubled period for marine shipping industry.(c) 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
引用
收藏
页码:3493 / 3507
页数:15
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