Sex-Specific Comparison Between Triglyceride Glucose Index and Modified Triglyceride Glucose Indices to Predict New-Onset Hypertension in Middle-Aged and Older Adults

Background: Triglyceride and glucose (TyG) index and TyG-related indices combined with obesity-related markers are considered important markers of insulin resistance. We aimed to examine the association between the TyG index and modified TyG indices with new-onset hypertension and their predictive ability stratified by sex. Methods and Results: We analyzed data from 5414 Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study participants aged 40 to 69years. Multiple Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were conducted to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% CI for new-onset hypertension according to sex-specific tertile groups after confounder adjustments. To evaluate the predictive performance of these indices for new-onset hypertension, we calculated Harrell's C-index (95% CI). Over a 9.5-year follow-up period, 1014 men and 1012 women developed new-onset hypertension. Compared with the lowest tertile (T) group, the adjusted HR and 95% CI for new-onset hypertension in T3 for TyG, TyG-body mass index, TyG-waist circumference, and TyG-waist-to-height ratio were 1.16 (0.95-1.40), 1.11 (0.84-1.48), 1.77 (1.38-2.27), and 1.68 (1.33-2.13) in men and 1.37 (1.13-1.66), 1.55 (1.16-2.06), 1.43 (1.15-1.79), and 1.64 (1.30-2.07) in women, respectively. The C-indices of TyG-waist-to-height ratio for new-onset hypertension were significantly higher than those of TyG and TyG-body mass index in both men and women. Conclusions: TyG and TyG-body mass index were significantly associated with new-onset hypertension only in women. TyG-waist circumference and TyG-waist-to-height ratio were significantly associated with new-onset hypertension in both men and women. A sex-specific approach is required when using TyG and modified TyG indices to identify individuals at risk of incident hypertension.