Asian-Australian summer monsoons linkage to ENSO strengthened by global warming

被引:25
作者
Xu, Chenxi [1 ,2 ]
Wang, S. -Y. Simon [3 ]
Borhara, Krishna [3 ]
Buckley, Brendan [4 ]
Tan, Ning [1 ]
Zhao, Yaru [1 ,5 ]
An, Wenling [1 ]
Sano, Masaki [6 ]
Nakatsuka, Takeshi [6 ]
Guo, Zhengtang [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Geol & Geophys, Key Lab Cenozo Geol & Environm, Beijing 100029, Peoples R China
[2] CAS Ctr Excellence Life & Paleoenvironment, Beijing 100044, Peoples R China
[3] Utah State Univ, Dept Plants Soils & Climate, Logan, UT 84322 USA
[4] Columbia Univ, Tree Ring Lab, Lamont Doherty Earth Observ, Palisades, NY USA
[5] Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Coll Earth Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China
[6] Nagoya Univ, Grad Sch Environm Studies, Nagoya, Aichi 4648601, Japan
基金
美国国家科学基金会; 中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
MAY-SEPTEMBER PRECIPITATION; INTERDECADAL CHANGES; INDIAN MONSOON; VARIABILITY; RECONSTRUCTIONS; DYNAMICS; RAINFALL; PACIFIC; RECORD; AEROSOL;
D O I
10.1038/s41612-023-00341-2
中图分类号
P4 [大气科学(气象学)];
学科分类号
0706 ; 070601 ;
摘要
The El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) used to affect the Asian summer monsoon (ASM) and Australian summer monsoon (AusSM) precipitation in different ways but global warming may have changed it. This study built robust annual ASM (AusSM) precipitation reconstructions during 1588-2013 (1588-1999) to examine the ENSO-monsoon relationship and how it has changed. During the period of 1588-1850 when natural climate variability was dominant, the ENSO-monsoon and inter-monsoon relationship was weak and non-stationary. Since 1850, however, both the inter-monsoon and ENSO-monsoon relationships saw an enhancement and this trend has been persistent to the present day, suggesting the influence of anthropogenic climate warming. Further analysis of climate model projections found that global warming can strengthen the ENSO-monsoon association that, subsequently, acts to synchronize the ASM and AusSM variations.
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页数:9
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