Dynapenic abdominal obesity and incident multimorbidity: findings from the English longitudinal study on ageing

Background Dynapenic abdominal obesity (DAO) (i.e., impairment in muscle strength and high waist circumference) is gaining interest, as it is associated with several important adverse health outcomes. However, the association between DAO and multimorbidity is largely unclear. Thus, the aim of the present study was to investigate the association between DAO at baseline and new onset multimorbidity over ten years of follow-up. Methods People participating in the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing were included. DAO was defined as waist circumference > 102 cm in men and > 88 cm in women, and a concomitant presence of dynapenia ( handgrip strength defined as < 27 kg for men and < 16 kg for women). Multimorbidity was defined as having two or more chronic conditions. The association between DAO and incident multimorbidity was assessed using a multivariable logistic regression analysis, reporting the data as odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Results Overall, 3302 participants (mean age: 63.4 years, males: 50.3%) without multimorbidity at baseline were followed-up for ten years. After adjusting for several variables, compared to participants without dynapenia nor abdominal obesity, the presence of abdominal obesity (OR = 1.505; 95%CI: 1.272-1.780; p < 0.0001) and DAO (OR = 1.671; 95%CI: 1.201-2.325; p = 0.002) significantly increased the risk of multimorbidity. Compared to no dynapenia nor abdominal obesity, DAO was associated with significantly higher risk for arthritis and diabetes. Conclusions DAO was significantly associated with a higher risk of incident multimorbidity, over 10 years of follow-up. The results of our study suggest that addressing DAO can potentially decrease risk for multimorbidity.