A study on the response of carbon emission rights price to energy price macroeconomy and weather conditions

被引:9
作者
Shi, Changfeng [1 ]
Zeng, Qingshun [1 ]
Zhi, Jiaqi [1 ]
Na, Xiaohong [1 ]
Cheng, Shufang [1 ]
机构
[1] Hohai Univ, Business Sch, Changzhou 213022, Peoples R China
关键词
China's carbon emission rights price; Shanghai crude oil futures; Impulse response functions; Variance decomposition; SVAR model; STOCK-MARKET; ECONOMETRIC-ANALYSIS; ALLOWANCE PRICES; CHINA; DYNAMICS; DETERMINANTS; SPILLOVER; DRIVERS; COST; SPOT;
D O I
10.1007/s11356-022-24577-2
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
China's carbon emission trading market has gradually attracted worldwide attention. In this paper, a structural VAR model and Shenzhen, a typical city in China, are selected to study the dynamic relationships between China's carbon emission rights price, energy prices, macroeconomic level, and weather conditions. Shanghai crude oil futures, the first crude oil futures contract in China, is used to describe changes in oil market as a substitute for Daqing crude oil price. The results show that the price of carbon emission rights is mainly affected by its own historical price; and the price of carbon emission rights is positively correlated with crude oil price and natural gas price, but negatively correlated with coal price; the change of macroeconomic level will still have a relatively large impact on carbon emission rights price in the current stage of economic development in China, but this impact is not significant; The impact of weather conditions on the price of carbon emission rights is not obvious. It is found that the launch of the national unified carbon market has indeed achieved certain results, but the situation that China's carbon market is still in its infancy has not been changed; further efforts are needed.
引用
收藏
页码:33833 / 33848
页数:16
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