A simulation and risk assessment framework for water-energy-environment nexus: A case study in the city cluster along the middle reach of the Yangtze River, China

被引:3
作者
Liu, Haoyuan [1 ,2 ]
Zhang, Xiang [1 ,2 ]
Deng, Liangkun [1 ,2 ]
Zhao, Ye [1 ,2 ]
Tao, Shiyong [1 ,2 ]
Jia, Haifeng [3 ]
Xu, Jing [1 ,2 ]
Xia, Jun [1 ,2 ]
机构
[1] Wuhan Univ, State Key Lab Water Resources & Hydropower Engn Sc, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China
[2] Wuhan Univ, Hubei Key Lab Water Syst Sci Sponge City Construct, Wuhan 430072, Peoples R China
[3] Tsinghua Univ, Sch Environm, Beijing 100084, Peoples R China
关键词
Water-energy-environment nexus; System dynamics; Shared socio-economic pathways; Copula; Risk assessment; RESOURCES CARRYING-CAPACITY; SKLARS THEOREM; POLICY; MODEL; PERSPECTIVE; POPULATION; SCENARIOS; SECURITY; DYNAMICS; BENEFITS;
D O I
10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169212
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
systemic level, with maximum values of 0.84, 0.85, 0.62, respectively. A development path based on conservation priorities indicates that future policymaking needs to prioritize a resource-saving and pollution-control development pattern directed by technological upgrading against the backdrop of scarce natural resource endowments. The localized SSPs are a beneficial extension that enriches the narrative of regional-scale SSPs. The evolutionary trajectories and risk assessments of WEEN complex systems under different localized SSPs provide a sweeping insight into the consequences of policy decisions, thus enabling policymakers to appraise policy rationality and implement appropriate corrective measures.
引用
收藏
页数:18
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