Lung ultrasound scoring system vs ROX index as a predictor for progression to the invasive mechanical ventilation in COVID-19 patients

Background: During the outbreak of the highly contagious Coronavirus disease 19 (COVID19), rapid and simple prognostic tools were needed to support clinical decisions and predict the need of invasive mechanical ventilation. the ROX index, and the lung ultrasound score (LUSS) were proposed to objectively predict patient prognosis in addition to the subjective clinical assessmentAim: This study aimed to compare lung ultrasound score with ROX index in predicting the need of invasive ventilation in COVID-19 patients requiring advanced oxygen therapy.Patients and Methods: We studied 50 patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia in the intensive care unit in the isolated area at Kasr Al-Ainy hospital. Complete Medical history, physical examination and laboratory investigations were obtained on admission. All patients underwent bedside lung ultrasonography scan and LUSS was calculated at the 2nd and the 12th hours, also ROX index was calculated at the 2nd, 6th and 12th hours from initiating the advanced oxygen therapy.Results: From a total of fifty patients with COVID-19, 56.0% were males, with mean age of 65.98 + 11.68 years, and mortality rate was 68%. The optimal cut off value of the ROX index at (2, 6, 12 hour) is (2.495, 2.675, 3.06) respectively, (p <0.001) with sensitivity 90.9% and specificity 76.5% at the 12 hour. Also the optimal cut off point of LUSS is 25.50 (p <0.001) with sensitivity 93.9% and specificity 88.2% for prediction of the invasive mechanical ventilation.Conclusion and recommendations: The study concluded that LUSS is more sensitive in predicting the need of invasive mechanical ventilation than ROX index.