Thyroid dysfunction and risk of cutaneous malignant melanoma: a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization study

Background: Epidemiologic and observational data have found a risk association between thyroid dysfunction and cutaneous malignant melanoma (CMM), however, the cause and direction of these effects are yet unknown. By using a bidirectional two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) methodology, we hoped to further investigate the causal link between thyroid dysfunction and CMM in this work. Methods: A genome-wide association study (GWAS) of 9,851,867 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in a European population was used to develop genetic tools for thyroid dysfunction. Hypothyroidism was linked to 22,687 cases and 440,246 controls. For hyperthyroidism, there were 3545 cases and 459,388 controls. A total of 3751 cases and 372016 controls were included in the genetic data for CMM from UK Biobank (http://www.nealelab.is/uk-biobank) (the Dataset: ieu -b -4969). Among them, inverse variance weighting (IVW) is the main MR Analysis method for causality assessment. MR-Egger method, MR Pleiotropic residual and outlier test (MR-PRESSO), and simple and weighted median (VM) were used to supplement the IVW method. Sensitivity analyses, mainly Cochran's Q test, leave-one-out analysis, and MR Egger intercept test were performed to assess the robustness of the outcomes. Results: The two-sample MR Analysis results revealed a negative correlation between genetically predicted hypothyroidism and the probability of CMM (OR=0.987, 95%CI =0.075-0.999, p=0.041). The supplemental MR Analysis did not reveal any statistically significant differences, although the direction of the effect sizes for the other approaches was consistent with the IVW effect sizes. The results of the causal analysis were relatively robust, according to a sensitivity analysis. The risk of CMM was unaffected by hyperthyroidism (p>0.05). No correlation between CMM and thyroid dysfunction was seen in the reverse MR analysis. Conclusion: Although the magnitude of the causal association is weak and further investigation of the mechanism of this putative causal relationship is required, our findings imply that hypothyroidism may be a protective factor for CMM.