Generalized global solar radiation forecasting model via cyber-secure deep federated learning

被引:2
|
作者
Moradzadeh, Arash [1 ]
Moayyed, Hamed [2 ]
Mohammadi-Ivatloo, Behnam [1 ,3 ]
Aguiar, Antonio Pedro [4 ]
Anvari-Moghaddam, Amjad [5 ]
Abdul-Malek, Zulkurnain [6 ]
机构
[1] Univ Tabriz, Fac Elect & Comp Engn, Tabriz 5166616471, Iran
[2] Polytech Porto, Res Grp Intelligent Engn & Comp Adv Innovat & Dev, GECAD, LASI Intelligent Syst Associate Lab, P-4200072 Porto, Portugal
[3] LUT Univ, Sch Energy Syst, Lappeenranta, Finland
[4] Univ Porto, Fac Engn, SYSTEC ARISE Res Ctr Syst & Technol, Elect & Comp Engn Dept, P-4200465 Porto, Portugal
[5] Aalborg Univ, Dept Energy AAU Energy, DK-9220 Aalborg, Denmark
[6] Univ Teknol Malaysia, Inst High Voltage & High Current, Fac Elect Engn, Johor Baharu, Malaysia
关键词
Renewable energy resources; Solar energy; Solar radiation forecasting; Cyber-security; Federated learning; Deep learning; Machine learning; NEURAL-NETWORK; IDENTIFICATION; MANAGEMENT; FRAMEWORK;
D O I
10.1007/s11356-023-30224-1
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Recently, the increasing prevalence of solar energy in power and energy systems around the world has dramatically increased the importance of accurately predicting solar irradiance. However, the lack of access to data in many regions and the privacy concerns that can arise when collecting and transmitting data from distributed points to a central server pose challenges to current predictive techniques. This study proposes a global solar radiation forecasting approach based on federated learning (FL) and convolutional neural network (CNN). In addition to maintaining input data privacy, the proposed procedure can also be used as a global supermodel. In this paper, data related to eight regions of Iran with different climatic features are considered as CNN input for network training in each client. To test the effectiveness of the global supermodel, data related to three new regions of Iran named Abadeh, Jarqavieh, and Arak are used. It can be seen that the global forecasting supermodel was able to forecast solar radiation for Abadeh, Jarqavieh, and Arak regions with 95%, 92%, and 90% accuracy coefficients, respectively. Finally, in a comparative scenario, various conventional machine learning and deep learning models are employed to forecast solar radiation in each of the study regions. The results of the above approaches are compared and evaluated with the results of the proposed FL-based method. The results show that, since no training data were available from regions of Abadeh, Jarqavieh, and Arak, the conventional methods were not able to forecast solar radiation in these regions. This evaluation confirms the high ability of the presented FL approach to make acceptable predictions while preserving privacy and eliminating model reliance on training data.
引用
收藏
页码:18281 / 18295
页数:15
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