Correlation analysis between the static and the changed neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and in-hospital mortality in critical patients with acute heart failure

Objective Association between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) on admission and poor prognosis in patients with acute heart failure (AHF) has been well established. However, the relationship between dynamic changes in NLR and in-hospital mortality in AHF patients has not been studied. Our purpose was to determine if an early change in NLR within the first week after AHF patients was admitted to intensive care unit (ICU) was associated with in-hospital mortality. Methods Data from the medical information mart for intensive care IV (the MIMIC-IV) database was analyzed. The effect of baseline NLR on in-hospital mortality in critical patients with AHF was evaluated utilizing smooth curve fitting and multivariable logistic regression analysis. Moreover, comparison of the dynamic change in NLR among survivors and non-survivors was performed using the generalized additive mixed model (GAMM). Results There were 1169 participants who took part in the present study, 986 of whom were in-hospital survivors and 183 of whom were in-hospital non-survivors. The smooth curve fitting revealed a positive relationship between baseline NLR and in-hospital mortality, and multivariable logistic regression analysis indicated that baseline NLR was an independent risk factor for in-hospital mortality (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.02,1.07, P-value = 0.001). After adjusting for confounders, GAMM showed that the difference in NLR between survivors and non-survivors grew gradually during the first week after ICU admission, and the difference grew by an average of 0.51 per day (beta = 0.51, 95% CI 0.45-0.56, P-value <0.001). Conclusions Baseline NLR was associated with poor prognosis in critical patients with AHF. Early rises in NLR were linked to higher in-hospital mortality, which suggests that keeping track of how NLR early changes might help identify short-term prognosis of critical patients with AHF.