Mathematical Model of the Spread of Hantavirus Infection

被引:2
作者
Gutierrez-Jara, Juan Pablo [1 ]
Munoz-Quezada, Maria Teresa [2 ]
Cordova-Lepe, Fernando [3 ]
Silva-Guzman, Alex [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Catolica Maule, Ctr Invest Estudios Avanzados Maule CIEAM, Invest & Postgrad, Talca 3480112, Chile
[2] Univ Chile, Fac Med, Sch Publ Hlth, Ave Independencia 939, Santiago 8320000, Chile
[3] Univ Catolica Maule, Fac Ciencias Basicas, Ave San Miguel 3605, Talca 3480112, Chile
[4] Maule Reg Minist Hlth Secretariat, Talca 3480112, Chile
来源
PATHOGENS | 2023年 / 12卷 / 09期
关键词
hantavirus; mathematical model; zoonotic disease; PULMONARY SYNDROME; ANDES VIRUS; POPULATION; ARGENTINA; DYNAMICS;
D O I
10.3390/pathogens12091147
中图分类号
Q93 [微生物学];
学科分类号
071005 ; 100705 ;
摘要
A mathematical epidemiological model incorporating the mobility of rodents and human groups among zones of less or major contact between them is presented. The hantavirus infection dynamics is expressed using a model type SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed), which incorporates the displacement of the rodent and the human, between the urban and rural sector, the latter being subdivided in populated and non-populated. The results show the impact that rodent or human displacement may have on the propagation of hantavirus infection. Human mobility is more significant than rodents in increasing the number of hantavirus infection cases. The results found may be used as a reference by the health authorities to develop more specific campaigns on the territorial dynamics of the rodent, attend to the mobility of humans in these territories, mainly agricultural and forestry workers, and strengthen control-prevention actions in the community, to prevent future outbreaks that are fatal.
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页数:18
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