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Double Machine Learning: Explaining the Post-Earnings Announcement Drift
被引:1
|作者:
Hansen, Jacob H. H.
[1
]
Siggaard, Mathias V. V.
[1
]
机构:
[1] Aarhus Univ, CREATES, Dept Econ & Business Econ, Aarhus, Denmark
关键词:
INFORMATION UNCERTAINTY;
CONFIDENCE-INTERVALS;
CAUSAL INFERENCE;
STOCK RETURNS;
SELECTION;
RISK;
PERSISTENCE;
EFFICIENCY;
TESTS;
BIG;
D O I:
10.1017/S0022109023000133
中图分类号:
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号:
0202 ;
摘要:
We demonstrate the benefits of merging traditional hypothesis-driven research with new methods from machine learning that enable high-dimensional inference. Because the literature on post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) is characterized by a "zoo" of explanations, limited academic consensus on model design, and reliance on massive data, it will serve as a leading example to demonstrate the challenges of high-dimensional analysis. We identify a small set of variables associated with momentum, liquidity, and limited arbitrage that explain PEAD directly and consistently, and the framework can be applied broadly in finance.
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页码:1003 / 1030
页数:28
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