Double Machine Learning: Explaining the Post-Earnings Announcement Drift

被引:1
|
作者
Hansen, Jacob H. H. [1 ]
Siggaard, Mathias V. V. [1 ]
机构
[1] Aarhus Univ, CREATES, Dept Econ & Business Econ, Aarhus, Denmark
关键词
INFORMATION UNCERTAINTY; CONFIDENCE-INTERVALS; CAUSAL INFERENCE; STOCK RETURNS; SELECTION; RISK; PERSISTENCE; EFFICIENCY; TESTS; BIG;
D O I
10.1017/S0022109023000133
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
We demonstrate the benefits of merging traditional hypothesis-driven research with new methods from machine learning that enable high-dimensional inference. Because the literature on post-earnings announcement drift (PEAD) is characterized by a "zoo" of explanations, limited academic consensus on model design, and reliance on massive data, it will serve as a leading example to demonstrate the challenges of high-dimensional analysis. We identify a small set of variables associated with momentum, liquidity, and limited arbitrage that explain PEAD directly and consistently, and the framework can be applied broadly in finance.
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收藏
页码:1003 / 1030
页数:28
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