Global warming may significantly increase childhood anemia burden in sub-Saharan Africa

被引:6
作者
Zhu, Yixiang [1 ,2 ]
He, Cheng [1 ,2 ,3 ,4 ]
Gasparrini, Antonio [5 ,6 ,7 ]
Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria [8 ,9 ]
Liu, Cong [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Bachwenkizi, Jovine [10 ]
Zhou, Lu [1 ,2 ]
Cheng, Yuexin [11 ]
Kan, Lena [12 ]
Chen, Renjie [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Kan, Haidong [1 ,2 ,3 ,13 ]
机构
[1] Fudan Univ, Sch Publ Hlth, Key Lab Publ Hlth Safety, Minist Educ, Shanghai 200032, Peoples R China
[2] Fudan Univ, NHC Key Lab Hlth Technol Assessment, Shanghai 200032, Peoples R China
[3] Fudan Univ, IRDR ICoE Risk Interconnect & Governance Weather, Climate Extremes Impact & Publ Hlth, Shanghai 200438, Peoples R China
[4] German Res Ctr Environm Hlth GmbH, Inst Epidemiol, Helmholtz Zentrum Munchen, Neuherberg, Germany
[5] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Dept Publ Hlth Environm & Soc, London, England
[6] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Ctr Stat Methodol, London, England
[7] London Sch Hyg & Trop Med, Ctr Climate Change & Planetary Hlth, London, England
[8] Univ Bern, Inst Social & Prevent Med, Bern, Switzerland
[9] Univ Bern, Oeschger Ctr Climate Change Res, Bern, Switzerland
[10] Muhimbili Univ Hlth & Allied Sci, Dept Environm & Occupat Hlth, Dar Es Salaam, Tanzania
[11] Nantong Univ, Xuzhou Med Univ, Peoples Hosp Yancheng 1,Yancheng Affiliated Hosp, Dept Hematol,Affiliated Hosp 4, Yancheng, Peoples R China
[12] Johns Hopkins Univ, Bloomberg Sch Publ Hlth, Baltimore, MD USA
[13] Fudan Univ, Childrens Hosp, Natl Ctr Childrens Hlth, Shanghai, Peoples R China
来源
ONE EARTH | 2023年 / 6卷 / 10期
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
CLIMATE-CHANGE; HEMOGLOBIN CONCENTRATION; CHILDREN; IMPACT; MORTALITY; TEMPERATURE; SCENARIOS; INCOME; UNDERNUTRITION; COUNTRIES;
D O I
10.1016/j.oneear.2023.09.003
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Childhood anemia constitutes a global public health problem, especially in low-and middle-income countries (LMICs). However, it remains unknown whether global warming has an impact on childhood anemia. Here, we examined the association between annual temperatures and childhood anemia prevalence in sub-Saharan Africa and then projected childhood anemia burden attributable to climate change. Each 1 degrees C increment in annual temperature was associated with increased odds of childhood anemia (odd ratio =1.138, 95% confidence interval: 1.134-1.142). Compared with the baseline period (1985-2014), the attributable childhood anemia cases would increase by 7,597 per 100,000 person-years under a high-emission scenario in the 2090s, which would be almost 2-fold and over 3-fold more than those projected in moderate-and low -emission scenarios. Our results reveal the vulnerabilities and inequalities of children for the excess burden of anemia due to climate warming and highlight the importance of climate mitigation and adaptation strategies in LMICs.
引用
收藏
页码:1388 / 1399
页数:13
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