Benford's Law in Electric Distribution Network

被引:3
作者
Petras, Jaroslav [1 ]
Pavlik, Marek [1 ]
Zbojovsky, Jan [1 ]
Hyseni, Ardian [1 ]
Dudiak, Jozef [2 ]
机构
[1] Tech Univ Kosice, Fac Elect Engn & Informat, Dept Elect Power Engn, Kosice Sever 04200, Slovakia
[2] Vychodoslovenska Distribucna As, Mlynska 31, Kosice 04291, Slovakia
关键词
Benford's law; electric power engineering; electricity metering; PECULIAR DISTRIBUTION;
D O I
10.3390/math11183863
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
Benford's law can be used as a method to detect non-natural changes in data sets with certain properties; in our case, the dataset was collected from electricity metering devices. In this paper, we present a theoretical background behind this law. We applied Benford's law first digit probability distribution test for electricity metering data sets acquired from smart electricity meters, i.e., the natural data of electricity consumption acquired during a specific time interval. We present the results of Benford's law distribution for an original measured dataset with no artificial intervention and a set of results for different kinds of affected datasets created by simulated artificial intervention. Comparing these two dataset types with each other and with the theoretical probability distribution provided us the proof that with this kind of data, Benford's law can be applied and that it can extract the dataset's artificial manipulation markers. As presented in the results part of the article, non-affected datasets mostly have a deviation from BL theoretical probability values below 10%, rarely between 10% and 20%. On the other side, simulated affected datasets show deviations mostly above 20%, often approximately 70%, but rarely lower than 20%, and this only in the case of affecting a small part of the original dataset (10%), which represents only a small magnitude of intervention.
引用
收藏
页数:27
相关论文
共 35 条
[1]  
Benford F., 1938, Proc. Am. Phil. Soc., V78, P551, DOI DOI 10.2307/984802
[2]   A basic theory of Benford's Law [J].
Berger, Arno ;
Hill, Theodore P. .
PROBABILITY SURVEYS, 2011, 8 :1-126
[3]   Benford's Law Strikes Back: No Simple Explanation in Sight for Mathematical Gem [J].
Berger, Arno ;
Hill, Theodore P. .
MATHEMATICAL INTELLIGENCER, 2011, 33 (01) :85-91
[4]   BENFORD LAW AND PHYSICAL CONSTANTS - THE DISTRIBUTION OF INITIAL DIGITS [J].
BURKE, J ;
KINCANON, E .
AMERICAN JOURNAL OF PHYSICS, 1991, 59 (10) :952-952
[5]  
Burns B., 2009, Proc. Annu. Meet. Cogn. Sci. Soc, V31, P2872
[6]  
Butgereit L., 2021, P 2021 INT C ART INT, P1, DOI [10.1109/icABCD51485.2021.9519321, DOI 10.1109/ICABCD51485.2021.9519321]
[7]  
Cella Ricardo Sartori, 2018, BBR, Braz. Bus. Rev., V15, P331
[8]   Using the Benford's Law as a First Step to Assess the Quality of the Cancer Registry Data [J].
Crocetti, Emanuele ;
Randi, Giorgia .
FRONTIERS IN PUBLIC HEALTH, 2016, 4
[9]   Detection and identification of energy theft in advanced metering infrastructures [J].
de Souza, Matheus Alberto ;
Pereira, Jose L. R. ;
Alves, Guilherme de O. ;
de Oliveira, Braulio C. ;
Melo, Igor D. ;
Garcia, Paulo A. N. .
ELECTRIC POWER SYSTEMS RESEARCH, 2020, 182
[10]  
Durtschi C., 2004, J. Forensic Acc, V5, P14