CT and MRI findings beyond the subchondral bone in osteonecrosis of the femoral head to distinguish between ARCO stages 2 and 3A

Objectives To determine the diagnostic values of deep changes beyond the subchondral bone in osteonecrosis of the femoral head (ONFH) to distinguish between Association Research Circulation Osseous (ARCO) stages 2 and 3A. Methods This retrospective study included 124 hips with ONFH of stages 2 (n = 49; 23 females; mean age, 50.7 years) and 3A (n = 75; 20 females; mean age, 53.2 years) from May 2017 to August 2022, who underwent CT (n = 124) and MRI (n = 85). Deep changes beyond subchondral bone were analyzed on CT (bone resorption area and cystic change) and on MRI (bone marrow edema [BME] and joint effusion). Diagnostic performance and multivariate analysis were evaluated for detecting stage 3A. Results Stage 3A showed more frequent bone resorption area (72.0% vs. 4.1%), cystic change (52.0% vs. 0.0%), BME (93.5% vs. 43.6%), and joint effusion (76.0% vs. 24.5%) than stage 2 (p < 0.001, all). Bone resorption area and cystic change showed low sensitivities (52.0 similar to 72.0%) but high specificities (96.0 similar to 100.0%), while BME and joint effusion showed high sensitivities (76.0 similar to 93.0%) but low specificities (56.0 similar to 76.0%) for stage 3A. Predictors were in the order of bone resorption area, cystic change, and joint effusion (odds ratio: 32.952, 26.281, 9.603, respectively), and combined bone resorption area and cystic change had the best predictive value (AUC, 0.900) for stage 3A. Conclusions Among deep changes, bone resorption area and cystic changes were highly specific and BME and joint effusion were highly sensitive for stage 3A. Combined bone resorption area and cystic change had the best predictive value for predicting ARCO stage 3A.