Game Theory-Based Rescue Schemes for Domino Accidents in Industrial Parks

被引:2
作者
Wang, Ruixue [1 ]
Dou, Jianghai [2 ]
Jia, Xiaoping [1 ]
Li, Zhiwei [3 ]
Wang, Fang [1 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Qingdao Univ Sci & Technol, Sch Environm & Safety Engn, Qingdao 266042, Peoples R China
[2] Dev Res Ctr Huangdao Dist, Qingdao 266061, Peoples R China
[3] Hefei Univ Technol, Sch Chem & Chem Engn, Hefei 230009, Peoples R China
[4] Qingdao Univ Sci & Technol, Sino German Engn Coll, Qingdao 266061, Peoples R China
基金
国家重点研发计划;
关键词
Dynamic game; Evolutionary game; Emergency management; Chemical industrial park; EVOLUTIONARY GAME; RISK ANALYSIS; OPTIMIZATION; CHINA;
D O I
10.1007/s41660-024-00394-7
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Chemical industrial parks have an overconcentration of major risk sources. The high density of plants and various hazardous chemicals makes it easy for a domino effect to occur, with serious consequences. In this study, the dynamic process of a domino accident was divided into several stages using an incomplete information dynamic game. The transport plan for emergency supplies was determined to achieve the lowest expected cost. This improves the efficiency of emergency supply distribution. To resolve the conflict between rescue time and expected cost in target decision-making, the evolutionary game method was used to analyze the performance of emergencies and decision-makers under different combinations of target behaviors. Multiple plants can achieve an equilibrium state characterized by the average time and lowest cost. This study can serve as a reference for studying dynamic game problems in cases involving multiple rescue schemes. Moreover, it can assist in designing site selection and planning from the viewpoint of inherent safety.
引用
收藏
页码:831 / 844
页数:14
相关论文
共 54 条
[1]  
Braun M., 1993, Differential Equations and Their Applications
[2]   Systematic literature review and qualitative meta-analysis of Natech research in the past four decades [J].
Camila, Suarez-Paba Maria ;
Mathis, Perreur ;
Felipe, Munoz ;
Maria, Cruz Ana .
SAFETY SCIENCE, 2019, 116 :58-77
[3]   An integrated emergency response model for toxic gas release accidents based on cellular automata [J].
Cao, Huan ;
Li, Tian ;
Li, Shuxia ;
Fan, Tijun .
ANNALS OF OPERATIONS RESEARCH, 2017, 255 (1-2) :617-638
[4]  
[曹欢 Cao Huan], 2016, [系统工程理论与实践, Systems Engineering-Theory & Practice], V36, P253
[5]   An innovative methodology for quickly modeling the spatial-temporal evolution of domino accidents triggered by fire [J].
Chen, Chao ;
Reniers, Genserik ;
Zhang, Laobing .
JOURNAL OF LOSS PREVENTION IN THE PROCESS INDUSTRIES, 2018, 54 :312-324
[6]   Historical Analysis Of Accidents Involving Domino Effect [J].
Clini, F. ;
Darbra, R. M. ;
Casal, J. .
CISAP4: 4TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SAFETY & ENVIRONMENT IN PROCESS INDUSTRY, 2010, 19 :335-340
[7]   Quantitative assessment of domino and NaTech scenarios in complex industrial areas [J].
Cozzani, Valerio ;
Antonioni, Giacomo ;
Landucci, Gabriele ;
Tugnoli, Alessandro ;
Bonvicini, Sarah ;
Spadoni, Gigliola .
JOURNAL OF LOSS PREVENTION IN THE PROCESS INDUSTRIES, 2014, 28 :10-22
[8]   Industrial accidents triggered by flood events: Analysis of past accidents [J].
Cozzani, Valerio ;
Campedel, Michela ;
Renni, Elisabetta ;
Krausmann, Elisabeth .
JOURNAL OF HAZARDOUS MATERIALS, 2010, 175 (1-3) :501-509
[9]   Management of risks in natural disasters: A systematic review of the literature on NATECH events [J].
Da Silva Nascimento, Kayo Renato ;
Alencar, Marcelo Hazin .
JOURNAL OF LOSS PREVENTION IN THE PROCESS INDUSTRIES, 2016, 44 :347-359
[10]   Risk analysis of French chemical industry [J].
Dakkoune, Amine ;
Vernieres-Hassimi, Lamiae ;
Leveneur, Sebastien ;
Lefebvre, Dimitri ;
Estel, Lionel .
SAFETY SCIENCE, 2018, 105 :77-85