An innovative power prediction method for bifacial PV modules

被引:4
作者
Yunqiao, Li [1 ]
Yan, Feng [2 ]
机构
[1] Shaanxi Univ Technol, Inst Elect Engn, Hanzhong, Peoples R China
[2] Shaanxi Univ Technol, Inst Econ & Management, Hanzhong, Peoples R China
关键词
Photovoltaic systems; Power prediction; Machine learning; NEURAL-NETWORK; MODEL; PERFORMANCE; SYSTEM;
D O I
10.1007/s00202-023-01805-7
中图分类号
TM [电工技术]; TN [电子技术、通信技术];
学科分类号
0808 ; 0809 ;
摘要
The increasing proportion of bifacial photovoltaic modules (Bi-PVM) in new projects makes the operation of photovoltaic system (PVS) more complicated, and it is difficult to accurately predict the power of the PVS. To solve this problem, this paper proposes a new power prediction method for PVS based on Bi-PVM. Firstly, the equal proportion digital twin model of the example project is constructed. The superposition principle is used to analyze the factors affecting the power generation performance of Bi-PVM, and the characteristic project is constructed according to the analysis results. Secondly, the bifacial correction coefficient is introduced to reduce the parameter error caused by Bi-PVM to the prediction model. On this basis, a power prediction machine learning model based on bidirectional gated recurrent unit (Bi-GRU) network is established. Finally, a simulation experiment is carried out on the TensorFlow machine learning platform. With the actual operation data of a PV power station in Jiuquan, China, the simulation analysis is carried out under four weather types, namely, sunny day, rainy day, snowy day and complex and changeable day, respectively, which verified the correctness and excellence of the proposed method.
引用
收藏
页码:2151 / 2159
页数:9
相关论文
共 28 条
[1]  
Ballas A., 2022, P 2020 5 INT C COMP, P1
[2]   Power Performance of Bifacial c-Si PV Modules With Different Shading Ratios [J].
Bhang, Byeong Gwan ;
Lee, Wonbin ;
Kim, Gyu Gwang ;
Choi, Jin Ho ;
Park, So Young ;
Ahn, Hyung-Keun .
IEEE JOURNAL OF PHOTOVOLTAICS, 2019, 9 (05) :1413-1420
[3]   Online prediction of ultra-short-term photovoltaic power using chaotic characteristic analysis, improved PSO and KELM [J].
Chen, Xiang ;
Ding, Kun ;
Zhang, Jingwei ;
Han, Wei ;
Liu, Yongjie ;
Yang, Zenan ;
Weng, Shuai .
ENERGY, 2022, 248
[4]   A novel adaptive discrete grey model with time-varying parameters for long-term photovoltaic power generation forecasting [J].
Ding, Song ;
Li, Ruojin ;
Tao, Zui .
ENERGY CONVERSION AND MANAGEMENT, 2021, 227
[5]   Feature-Selective Ensemble Learning-Based Long-Term Regional PV Generation Forecasting [J].
Eom, Haneul ;
Son, Yongju ;
Choi, Sungyun .
IEEE ACCESS, 2020, 8 :54620-54630
[6]   Sensitivity analysis of design parameters and power gain correlations of bi-facial solar PV system using response surface methodology [J].
Ghenai, Chaouki ;
Ahmad, Fahad Faraz ;
Rejeb, Oussama ;
Hamid, Abdul Kadir .
SOLAR ENERGY, 2021, 223 :44-53
[7]   Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Using an LSTM Neural Network and Synthetic Weather Forecast [J].
Hossain, Mohammad Safayet ;
Mahmood, Hisham .
IEEE ACCESS, 2020, 8 (08) :172524-172533
[8]  
IEA, 2022, WORLD EN OUTL
[9]  
Iec, 2021, International Standard IEC 61215
[10]  
[贾嵘 Jia Rong], 2018, [太阳能学报, Acta Energiae Solaris Sinica], V39, P110