A novel room-based epidemic model: Quarantine, testing, and vaccination strategies

被引:2
作者
Chatterjee, Sourin [1 ]
Zehmakan, Ahad N. [2 ]
Rastogi, Sujay [3 ]
机构
[1] Indian Inst Sci Educ & Res, Dept Math & Stat, Kolkata 741246, West Bengal, India
[2] Australian Natl Univ, Sch Comp, Canberra, Australia
[3] BITS Pilani, Dept Math, Pilani Campus, Pilani, India
关键词
NETWORKS;
D O I
10.1016/j.chaos.2023.114297
中图分类号
O1 [数学];
学科分类号
0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
Epidemic outbreaks pose significant challenges to public health and socio-economic stability, necessitating a comprehensive understanding of disease transmission dynamics and effective control strategies. This article discusses the limitations of traditional compartmental and network-based models and, inspired by the opinion formation models, introduces a room-based model that incorporates social gatherings and intuitive quarantine measures. Through simulations and analysis, we examine the impact of various model parameters, and confinement measures like quarantine and preventive measures like testing, and vaccination on disease spread. Additionally, we explore centrality-based testing and immunization strategies, demonstrating their effectiveness in reducing the spread of diseases compared to a random approach. Finally, we propose a combined strategy, that outperforms the existing strategies. It takes both global and local properties of the network structure into account, highlighting the potential for integrated control measures in epidemic management. This research not only contributes to a deeper understanding of epidemic models, but also provides insights into devising successful intervention strategies, including quarantine measures, testing methodologies, and vaccine programs to combat emerging epidemics and pandemics.
引用
收藏
页数:10
相关论文
共 61 条
  • [1] Statistical mechanics of complex networks
    Albert, R
    Barabási, AL
    [J]. REVIEWS OF MODERN PHYSICS, 2002, 74 (01) : 47 - 97
  • [2] Modelling the impact of testing, contact tracing and household quarantine on second waves of COVID-19
    Aleta, Alberto
    Martin-Corral, David
    Pastore y Piontti, Ana
    Ajelli, Marco
    Litvinova, Maria
    Chinazzi, Matteo
    Dean, Natalie E.
    Halloran, M. Elizabeth
    Longini, Ira M., Jr.
    Merler, Stefano
    Pentland, Alex
    Vespignani, Alessandro
    Moro, Esteban
    Moreno, Yamir
    [J]. NATURE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR, 2020, 4 (09) : 964 - +
  • [3] Community structured model for vaccine strategies to control COVID19 spread: A mathematical study
    Aruffo, Elena
    Yuan, Pei
    Tan, Yi
    Gatov, Evgenia
    Gournis, Effie
    Collier, Sarah
    Ogden, Nick
    Belair, Jacques
    Zhu, Huaiping
    [J]. PLOS ONE, 2022, 17 (10):
  • [4] Data analysis of Covid-19 pandemic and short-term cumulative case forecasting using machine learning time series methods
    Balli, Serkan
    [J]. CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2021, 142
  • [5] A Network Epidemic Model with Preventive Rewiring: Comparative Analysis of the Initial Phase
    Britton, Tom
    Juher, David
    Saldana, Joan
    [J]. BULLETIN OF MATHEMATICAL BIOLOGY, 2016, 78 (12) : 2427 - 2454
  • [6] Effective vaccination strategies in network-based SIR model
    Chatterjee, Sourin
    Zehmakan, Ahad N.
    [J]. CHAOS SOLITONS & FRACTALS, 2023, 175
  • [7] SPATIAL-ASPECTS OF EPIDEMIC CONTROL
    CLIFF, AD
    HAGGETT, P
    [J]. PROGRESS IN HUMAN GEOGRAPHY, 1989, 13 (03) : 315 - 347
  • [8] Characterization of complex networks: A survey of measurements
    Costa, L. Da F.
    Rodrigues, F. A.
    Travieso, G.
    Boas, P. R. Villas
    [J]. ADVANCES IN PHYSICS, 2007, 56 (01) : 167 - 242
  • [9] Sociodemographic Variables Can Guide Prioritized Testing Strategies for Epidemic Control in Resource-Limited Contexts
    Evans, Michelle, V
    Ramiadantsoa, Tanjona
    Kauffman, Kayla
    Moody, James
    Nunn, Charles L.
    Rabezara, Jean Yves
    Raharimalala, Prisca
    Randriamoria, Toky M.
    Soarimalala, Voahangy
    Titcomb, Georgia
    Garchitorena, Andres
    Roche, Benjamin
    [J]. JOURNAL OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 2023, 228 (09) : 1189 - 1197
  • [10] Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe
    Flaxman, Seth
    Mishra, Swapnil
    Gandy, Axel
    Unwin, H. Juliette T.
    Mellan, Thomas A.
    Coupland, Helen
    Whittaker, Charles
    Zhu, Harrison
    Berah, Tresnia
    Eaton, Jeffrey W.
    Monod, Melodie
    Ghani, Azra C.
    Donnelly, Christl A.
    Riley, Steven
    Vollmer, Michaela A. C.
    Ferguson, Neil M.
    Okell, Lucy C.
    Bhatt, Samir
    [J]. NATURE, 2020, 584 (7820) : 257 - +