Validation of a risk prediction model for COVID-19: the PERIL prospective cohort study

被引：0

作者：

Mohammedain, Shahd A. ^{[1
]}

Badran, Saif ^{[1
,2
]}

Elzouki, AbdelNaser Y. ^{[3
]}

Salim, Halla ^{[3
]}

Chalaby, Ayesha ^{[3
]}

Siddiqui, Mya ^{[3
]}

Hussein, Yehia Y. ^{[1
]}

Rahim, Hanan Abdul ^{[4
]}

Thalib, Lukman ^{[5
]}

Alam, Mohammed Fasihul ^{[4
]}

Al-Badriyeh, Daoud ^{[6
]}

Al-Maadeed, Sumaya ^{[7
]}

Doi, Suhail A. R. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Qatar Univ, Coll Med, Dept Populat Med, QU Hlth, Doha, Qatar

[2] Hamad Med Corp, Dept Plast Surg, Doha, Qatar

[3] Hamad Med Corp, Hamad Gen Hosp, Dept Internal Med, Doha, Qatar

[4] Qatar Univ, Coll Hlth Sci, Dept Publ Hlth, QU Hlth, Doha, Qatar

[5] Istanbul Aydin Univ, Fac Med, Dept Biostat, Istanbul, Turkiye

[6] Qatar Univ, Coll Pharm, QU Hlth, Doha, Qatar

[7] Qatar Univ, Coll Engn, Dept Comp Sci, Doha, Qatar

来源：

FUTURE VIROLOGY | 2023年 / 18卷 / 15期

关键词：

COVID-19; disease severity; prognosis; risk prediction; PNEUMONIA; PROGRESSION; MORTALITY; EXPLANATION; SARS-COV-2; SCORE;

D O I：

10.2217/fvl-2023-0036

中图分类号：

Q93 [微生物学];

学科分类号：

071005 ; 100705 ;

摘要：

Aim: This study aims to perform an external validation of a recently developed prognostic model for early prediction of the risk of progression to severe COVID-19. Patients & methods/materials: Patients were recruited at their initial diagnosis at two facilities within Hamad Medical Corporation in Qatar. 356 adults were included for analysis. Predictors for progression of COVID-19 were all measured at disease onset and first contact with the health system. Results: The C statistic was 83% (95% CI: 78%-87%) and the calibration plot showed that the model was well-calibrated. Conclusion: The published prognostic model for the progression of COVID-19 infection showed satisfactory discrimination and calibration and the model is easy to apply in clinical practice.d

引用

页码：991 / 1000

页数：10

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