A regional integrated assessment of the impacts of climate change and of the potential adaptation avenues for Quebec?s forests

被引:11
|
作者
Boulanger, Yan [1 ,2 ]
Puigdevall, Jesus Pascual [1 ]
Belisle, Annie Claude [3 ,4 ]
Bergeron, Yves [3 ,5 ]
Brice, Marie-Helene [6 ,7 ]
Cyr, Dominic [7 ]
De Grandpre, Louis [1 ]
Fortin, Daniel [8 ]
Gauthier, Sylvie
Grondin, Pierre [9 ]
Labadie, Guillemette [8 ]
Leblond, Mathieu [10 ]
Marchand, Maryse
Splawinski, Tadeusz B. [11 ]
St-Laurent, Martin-Hugues
Thiffault, Evelyne [12 ]
Tremblay, Junior A. [12 ,13 ,14 ]
Yamasaki, Stephen H. [15 ]
机构
[1] Ctr Foresterie Laurentides, Canadian Forest Serv, Nat Resources Canada, 1055 rue Peps, Quebec City, PQ G1V 4C7, Canada
[2] Univ Quebec Rimouski, Ctr Etud foret, Dept Biol Chim & geog, 300 allee Ursulines, Rimouski, PQ G5L 3A1, Canada
[3] Univ Quebec Abitibi Temiscamingue, Inst Rech Forets, 445 Blvd Univ, Rouyn Noranda, PQ J9X 5E4, Canada
[4] Conseil Premiere Nation Abitibiwinni, 45, rue Migwan, Pikogan, PQ J9T 3A3, Canada
[5] Univ Quebec Montreal, Dept Sci Biol, Case postale 8888,Succursale Ctr Ville, Montreal, PQ H3C 3P85, Canada
[6] Jardin Bot Montreal, 4101 Sherbrooke Est, Montreal, PQ H1X 2B2, Canada
[7] Univ Montreal, Inst Rech Biol vegetale, Dept Sci Biol, 4101 Sherbrooke Est, Montreal, PQ H1X 2B2, Canada
[8] Environm & Climate Change Canada, Sci & Technol Branch, 351 Blvd St Joseph, Gatineau, PQ J8Y 3Z5, Canada
[9] Univ Laval, Ctr Etud foret, Dept Biol, Quebec City, PQ G1V 0A6, Canada
[10] Minist Ressources Naturelle & Forets, Direct Rech forestiere, 2700 rue Einstein, Quebec City, PQ G1P 3W8, Canada
[11] Environm & Climate Change Canada, Sci & Technol Branch, 1125 Colonel By Dr, Ottawa, ON K1S 5B6, Canada
[12] Ctr enseignement & Rech foresterie St Foy CERFO, 2440 chemin St Foy, Quebec City, PQ G1V 1T2, Canada
[13] Univ Laval, Pavillon Abitibi Price 2405, rue Terrasse, Quebec City, PQ G1V 0A6, Canada
[14] Environm & Climate Change Canada, Sci & Technol Branch, 801-1550, Ave Estimauville, Quebec City, PQ G1J 0C3, Canada
[15] Bur Forestier Chef, 845 Blvd St Joseph, Roberval, PQ G8H 2L6, Canada
关键词
Quebec; boreal forest; synthesis; ecosystem services; regional analyses; MODEL-SPECIFICATION UNCERTAINTY; AGE-CLASS-STRUCTURE; BOREAL FOREST; BIRD COMMUNITIES; WOODLAND CARIBOU; NORTH-AMERICA; RANGE EXPANSION; SPRUCE BUDWORM; TIMBER HARVEST; BLACK SPRUCE;
D O I
10.1139/cjfr-2022-0282
中图分类号
S7 [林业];
学科分类号
0829 ; 0907 ;
摘要
Regional analyses assessing the vulnerabilities of forest ecosystems and the forest sector to climate change are key to con -sidering the heterogeneity of climate change impacts as well as the fact that risks, opportunities, and adaptation capacities might differ regionally. Here we provide the Regional Integrated Assessment of climate change on Quebec's forests, a work that involved several research teams and focused on climate change impacts on Quebec's commercial forests and on potential adaptation solutions. Our work showed that climate change will alter several ecological processes within Quebec's forests. These changes will result in important modifications in forest landscapes. Harvest will cumulate with climate change effects to further alter future forest landscapes, which will also have consequences on wildlife habitats (including woodland caribou habitat), avian biodiversity, carbon budget, and a variety of forest landscape values for Indigenous peoples. The adaptation of the forest sector will be crucial to mitigate the impacts of climate change on forest ecosystem goods and services and improve their resilience. Moving forward, a broad range of adaptation measures, notably through reducing harvest levels, should be explored to help strike a balance among social, ecological, and economic values. We conclude that without climate adaptation, strong negative economic and ecological impacts will likely affect Quebec's forests.
引用
收藏
页码:556 / 578
页数:23
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] An integrated assessment of the potential impacts of climate change on Indiana forests
    Richard P. Phillips
    Leslie Brandt
    P. David Polly
    Patrick Zollner
    Michael R. Saunders
    Keith Clay
    Louis Iverson
    Songlin Fei
    Climatic Change, 2020, 163 : 1917 - 1931
  • [2] An integrated assessment of the potential impacts of climate change on Indiana forests
    Phillips, Richard P.
    Brandt, Leslie
    Polly, P. David
    Zollner, Patrick
    Saunders, Michael R.
    Clay, Keith
    Iverson, Louis
    Fei, Songlin
    CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2020, 163 (04) : 1917 - 1931
  • [3] Assessing regional impacts and adaptation strategies for climate change: the Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment
    Miles, Edward L.
    Elsner, Marketa M.
    Littell, Jeremy S.
    Binder, Lara Whitely
    Lettenmaier, Dennis P.
    CLIMATIC CHANGE, 2010, 102 (1-2) : 9 - 27
  • [4] Assessing regional impacts and adaptation strategies for climate change: the Washington Climate Change Impacts Assessment
    Edward L. Miles
    Marketa M. Elsner
    Jeremy S. Littell
    Lara Whitely Binder
    Dennis P. Lettenmaier
    Climatic Change, 2010, 102 : 9 - 27
  • [5] New England Regional Assessment of Climate Change Impacts on forests
    Irland, L
    Spencer, S
    Huntley, R
    Hale, S
    Rock, B
    Rock, K
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE SOCIETY OF AMERICAN FORESTERS, 2000 NATIONAL CONVENTION, 2001, : 510 - 510
  • [6] Integrated regional assessment and climate change impacts in river basins
    Yarnal, B
    CLIMATE RESEARCH, 1998, 11 (01) : 65 - 74
  • [7] Regional economic impacts of climate change and adaptation in Canadian forests: A CGE modeling analysis
    Ochuodho, T. O.
    Lantz, V. A.
    Lloyd-Smith, P.
    Benitez, P.
    FOREST POLICY AND ECONOMICS, 2012, 25 : 100 - 112
  • [8] Climate change and Australian production forests: impacts and adaptation
    Keenan, R. J.
    AUSTRALIAN FORESTRY, 2017, 80 (04) : 197 - 207
  • [9] A global assessment on adaptation of forests to climate change
    Seppala, Risto
    SCANDINAVIAN JOURNAL OF FOREST RESEARCH, 2009, 24 (06) : 469 - 472
  • [10] Regional assessment of climate change impacts on coastal and fluvial ecosystems and the scope for adaptation
    J. A. Richards
    M. Mokrech
    P. M. Berry
    R. J. Nicholls
    Climatic Change, 2008, 90 : 141 - 167