Information criteria for latent factor models: A study on factor pervasiveness and adaptivity

被引:1
作者
Guo, Xiao [1 ]
Chen, Yu [1 ]
Tang, Cheng Yong [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Sci & Technol China, Int Inst Finance, Sch Management, Hefei 230026, Anhui, Peoples R China
[2] Temple Univ, Dept Stat Operat & Data Sci, 1810 Liacouras Walk, Philadelphia, PA 19122 USA
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Information criteria; Latent factor model; Model selection; Principal component analysis; Weak factors; TUNING PARAMETER SELECTION; NUMBER; ARBITRAGE; ASYMPTOTICS; EIGENSTRUCTURE; EIGENVALUE; PANEL; WEAK;
D O I
10.1016/j.jeconom.2022.03.005
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We study the information criteria extensively under general conditions for high -dimensional latent factor models. Upon carefully analyzing the estimation errors of the principal component analysis method, we establish theoretical results on the estimation accuracy of the latent factor scores, incorporating the impact from possibly weak factor pervasiveness; our analysis does not require the same factor strength of all the leading factors. To estimate the number of the latent factors, we propose a new penalty specification with a two-fold consideration: i) being adaptive to the strength of the factor pervasiveness, and ii) favoring more parsimonious models. Our theory establishes the validity of the proposed approach under general conditions. Additionally, we construct examples to demonstrate that when the factor strength is too weak, scenarios exist such that no information criterion can consistently identify the latent factors. We illustrate the performance of the proposed adaptive information criteria with extensive numerical examples, including simulations and a real data analysis.(c) 2022 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:237 / 250
页数:14
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