Natural short-lived halogens exert an indirect cooling effect on climate

被引：45

作者：

Saiz-Lopez, Alfonso ^{[1
]}

Fernandez, Rafael P. P. ^{[1
,2
]}

Li, Qinyi ^{[1
,12
]}

Cuevas, Carlos A. A. ^{[1
]}

Fu, Xiao ^{[3
]}

Kinnison, Douglas E. E. ^{[4
]}

Tilmes, Simone ^{[4
]}

Mahajan, Anoop S. S. ^{[5
]}

Gomez Martin, Juan Carlos ^{[6
]}

Iglesias-Suarez, Fernando ^{[7
]}

Hossaini, Ryan ^{[8
]}

Plane, John M. C. ^{[9
]}

Myhre, Gunnar ^{[10
]}

Lamarque, Jean-Francois ^{[11
]}

机构：

[1] CSIC, Inst Phys Chem Rocasolano, Dept Atmospher Chem & Climate, Madrid, Spain

[2] Natl Res Council CONICET, FCEN UNCuyo, Inst Interdisciplinary Sci ICB, Mendoza, Argentina

[3] Tsinghua Univ, Tsinghua Shenzhen Int Grad Sch, Inst Environm & Ecol, Shenzhen, Peoples R China

[4] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Atmospher Chem Observat & Modeling Lab, Boulder, CO USA

[5] Minist Earth Sci, Indian Inst Trop Meteorol, Ctr Climate Change Res, Pune, India

[6] CSIC, Inst Astrofis Andalucia, Granada, Spain

[7] Inst Phys Atmosphare, Deutsch Zent Luft & Raumfahrt DLR, Oberpfaffenhofen, Germany

[8] Univ Lancaster, Lancaster Environm Ctr, Lancaster, England

[9] Univ Leeds, Sch Chem, Leeds, England

[10] CICERO Ctr Int Climate Res, Oslo, Norway

[11] Natl Ctr Atmospher Res, Climate & Global Dynam Lab, Boulder, CO USA

[12] Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Civil & Environm Engn, Hong Kong, Peoples R China

来源：

NATURE | 2023年 / 618卷 / 7967期

基金：

欧洲研究理事会; 美国国家科学基金会;

关键词：

IODINE CHEMISTRY; ANTHROPOGENIC EMISSIONS; ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY; PARTICULATE MATTER; BROMINE CHEMISTRY; GLOBAL EMISSIONS; REACTIVE HALOGEN; AIR-POLLUTANTS; OZONE; MODEL;

D O I：

10.1038/s41586-023-06119-z

中图分类号：

O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];

学科分类号：

07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;

摘要：

Observational evidence shows the ubiquitous presence of ocean-emitted short-lived halogens in the global atmosphere(1-3). Natural emissions of these chemical compounds have been anthropogenically amplified since pre-industrial times(4-6), while, in addition, anthropogenic short-lived halocarbons are currently being emitted to the atmosphere(7,8). Despite their widespread distribution in the atmosphere, the combined impact of these species on Earth's radiative balance remains unknown. Here we show that short-lived halogens exert a substantial indirect cooling effect at present (-0.13 +/- 0.03 watts per square metre) that arises from halogen-mediated radiative perturbations of ozone (-0.24 +/- 0.02 watts per square metre), compensated by those from methane (+0.09 +/- 0.01 watts per square metre), aerosols (+0.03 +/- 0.01 watts per square metre) and stratospheric water vapour (+0.011 +/- 0.001 watts per square metre). Importantly, this substantial cooling effect has increased since 1750 by -0.05 +/- 0.03 watts per square metre (61 per cent), driven by the anthropogenic amplification of natural halogen emissions, and is projected to change further (18-31 per cent by 2100) depending on climate warming projections and socioeconomic development. We conclude that the indirect radiative effect due to short-lived halogens should now be incorporated into climate models to provide a more realistic natural baseline of Earth's climate system.

引用

页码：967 / 973

页数：7

共 113 条

[51] Quantitative detection of iodine in the stratosphere [J].

Koenig, Theodore K. ;

Baidar, Sunil ;

Campuzano-Jost, Pedro ;

Cuevas, Carlos A. ;

Dix, Barbara ;

Fernandez, Rafael P. ;

Guo, Hongyu ;

Hall, Samuel R. ;

Kinnison, Douglas ;

Nault, Benjamin A. ;

Ullmann, Kirk ;

Jimenez, Jose L. ;

Saiz-Lopez, Alfonso ;

Volkamer, Rainer .

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2020, 117 (04) :1860-1866

[52] BrO and inferred Bry profiles over the western Pacific: relevance of inorganic bromine sources and a Bry minimum in the aged tropical tropopause layer [J].

Koenig, Theodore K. ;

Volkamer, Rainer ;

Baidar, Sunil ;

Dix, Barbara ;

Wang, Siyuan ;

Anderson, Daniel C. ;

Salawitch, Ross J. ;

Wales, Pamela A. ;

Cuevas, Carlos A. ;

Fernandez, Rafael P. ;

Saiz-Lopez, Alfonso ;

Evans, Mathew J. ;

Sherwen, Tomas ;

Jacob, Daniel J. ;

Schmidt, Johan ;

Kinnison, Douglas ;

Lamarque, Jean-Francois ;

Apel, Eric C. ;

Bresch, James C. ;

Campos, Teresa ;

Flocke, Frank M. ;

Hall, Samuel R. ;

Honomichl, Shawn B. ;

Hornbrook, Rebecca ;

Jensen, Jorgen B. ;

Lueb, Richard ;

Montzka, Denise D. ;

Pan, Laura L. ;

Reeves, J. Michael ;

Schauffler, Sue M. ;

Ullmann, Kirk ;

Weinheimer, Andrew J. ;

Atlas, Elliot L. ;

Donets, Valeria ;

Navarro, Maria A. ;

Riemer, Daniel ;

Blake, Nicola J. ;

Chen, Dexian ;

Huey, L. Gregory ;

Tanner, David J. ;

Hanisco, Thomas F. ;

Wolfe, Glenn M. .

ATMOSPHERIC CHEMISTRY AND PHYSICS, 2017, 17 (24) :15245-15270

[53] Mineral dust aerosol impacts on global climate and climate change [J].

Kok, Jasper F. ;

Storelvmo, Trude ;

Karydis, Vlassis A. ;

Adebiyi, Adeyemi A. ;

Mahowald, Natalie M. ;

Evan, Amato T. ;

He, Cenlin ;

Leung, Danny M. .

NATURE REVIEWS EARTH & ENVIRONMENT, 2023, 4 (02) :71-86

[54] The role of long-lived greenhouse gases as principal LW control knob that governs the global surface temperature for past and future climate change [J].

Lacis, Andrew A. ;

Hansen, James E. ;

Russell, Gary L. ;

Oinas, Valdar ;

Jonas, Jeffrey .

TELLUS SERIES B-CHEMICAL AND PHYSICAL METEOROLOGY, 2013, 65

[55] The Atmospheric Chemistry and Climate Model Intercomparison Project (ACCMIP): overview and description of models, simulations and climate diagnostics [J].

Lamarque, J. -F. ;

Shindell, D. T. ;

Josse, B. ;

Young, P. J. ;

Cionni, I. ;

Eyring, V. ;

Bergmann, D. ;

Cameron-Smith, P. ;

Collins, W. J. ;

Doherty, R. ;

Dalsoren, S. ;

Faluvegi, G. ;

Folberth, G. ;

Ghan, S. J. ;

Horowitz, L. W. ;

Lee, Y. H. ;

MacKenzie, I. A. ;

Nagashima, T. ;

Naik, V. ;

Plummer, D. ;

Righi, M. ;

Rumbold, S. T. ;

Schulz, M. ;

Skeie, R. B. ;

Stevenson, D. S. ;

Strode, S. ;

Sudo, K. ;

Szopa, S. ;

Voulgarakis, A. ;

Zeng, G. .

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT, 2013, 6 (01) :179-206

[56] CAM-chem: description and evaluation of interactive atmospheric chemistry in the Community Earth System Model [J].

Lamarque, J. -F. ;

Emmons, L. K. ;

Hess, P. G. ;

Kinnison, D. E. ;

Tilmes, S. ;

Vitt, F. ;

Heald, C. L. ;

Holland, E. A. ;

Lauritzen, P. H. ;

Neu, J. ;

Orlando, J. J. ;

Rasch, P. J. ;

Tyndall, G. K. .

GEOSCIENTIFIC MODEL DEVELOPMENT, 2012, 5 (02) :369-411

[57]

Lan X., 2023, Trends in globally-averaged CH4, N2O, and SF6 determined from NOAA Global Monitoring Laboratory measurements, DOI DOI 10.15138/P8XG-AA10

[58] The future of Arctic sea-ice biogeochemistry and ice-associated ecosystems [J].

Lannuzel, Delphine ;

Tedesco, Letizia ;

van Leeuwe, Maria ;

Campbell, Karley ;

Flores, Hauke ;

Delille, Bruno ;

Miller, Lisa ;

Stefels, Jacqueline ;

Assmy, Philipp ;

Bowman, Jeff ;

Brown, Kristina ;

Castellani, Giulia ;

Chierici, Melissa ;

Crabeck, Odile ;

Damm, Ellen ;

Else, Brent ;

Fransson, Agneta ;

Fripiat, Francois ;

Geilfus, Nicolas-Xavier ;

Jacques, Caroline ;

Jones, Elizabeth ;

Kaartokallio, Hermanni ;

Kotovitch, Marie ;

Meiners, Klaus ;

Moreau, Sebastien ;

Nomura, Daiki ;

Peeken, Ilka ;

Rintala, Janne-Markus ;

Steiner, Nadja ;

Tison, Jean-Louis ;

Vancoppenolle, Martin ;

Van der Linden, Fanny ;

Vichi, Marcello ;

Wongpan, Pat .

NATURE CLIMATE CHANGE, 2020, 10 (11) :983-992

[59] Alpine ice evidence of a three-fold increase in atmospheric iodine deposition since 1950 in Europe due to increasing oceanic emissions [J].

Legrand, Michel ;

McConnell, Joseph R. ;

Preunkert, Susanne ;

Arienzo, Monica ;

Chellman, Nathan ;

Gleason, Kelly ;

Sherwen, Tomas ;

Evans, Mat J. ;

Carpenter, Lucy J. .

PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, 2018, 115 (48) :12136-12141

[60]

Li Q., 2022, GEOPHYS RES LETT, V49, pe2021GL097567

← 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 →