The labour market and poverty impacts of COVID-19 in South Africa

被引:4
作者
Bassier, Ihsaan [1 ,2 ,5 ,6 ]
Budlender, Joshua [1 ,2 ]
Zizzamia, Rocco [2 ,3 ]
Jain, Ronak [4 ]
机构
[1] Univ Massachusetts Amherst, Dept Econ, Amherst, MA USA
[2] Univ Cape Town UCT, Southern Afr Labour & Dev Res Unit SALDRU, Cape Town, South Africa
[3] Univ Cape Town, Dept Psychol, Rondebosch, South Africa
[4] Harvard Univ, Dept Econ, Cambridge, MA USA
[5] Univ Massachusetts Amherst, Dept Econ, Crotty Hall,412 N Pleasant St, Amherst, MA 01002 USA
[6] Univ Cape Town UCT, Southern Afr Labour & Dev Res Unit SALDRU, ZA-7701 Cape Town, South Africa
关键词
COVID-19; labour markets; poverty; social protection; unemployment;
D O I
10.1111/saje.12356
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We estimate COVID-19-related employment and poverty impacts in South Africa. We observe a 40% decline in active employment between February and April 2020, half of which was composed of job terminations rather than furloughs. Initially, vulnerable groups were disproportionately affected by the labour market shock. Exploiting the dataset's panel dimension and comparing lockdown incomes of job losers to reweighted job retainers, we estimate that approximately 15%-35% of job losers fell into poverty in April. We find evidence of a limited recovery in the labour market and a decrease in poverty by June, in part attributable to expanded emergency social assistance.
引用
收藏
页码:419 / 445
页数:27
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