Multiple dimensions of extreme weather events and their impacts on biodiversity

被引:16
作者
Gonzalez-Trujillo, Juan David [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Roman-Cuesta, Rosa M. [4 ,5 ]
Muniz-Castillo, Aaron Israel [6 ]
Amaral, Cibele H. [7 ]
Araujo, Miguel B. [1 ,2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] CSIC, Museo Nacl Ciencias Nat, Calle Jose Gutierrez Abascal 2, Madrid 28006, Spain
[2] Univ Evora, MED Medmediterranean Inst Agr Environm & Dev, Rui Nabeiro Biodivers Chair, P-7004516 Evora, Portugal
[3] Univ Evora, CHANGE Global Change & Sustainabil Inst, P-7004516 Evora, Portugal
[4] Wageningen Univ & Res, Lab Geoinformat Sci & Remote Sensing, NL-6708 PB Wageningen, Netherlands
[5] European Univ Inst, Florence Sch Regulat, I-50133 Florence, Italy
[6] Hlth Reefs Hlth People Initiat, Chetmal 77723, Quintana Roo, Mexico
[7] Univ Colorado Boulder, Cooperat Inst Res Environm Sci, Earth Lab, Boulder, CO 80303 USA
关键词
Climate change; Vulnerability assessment; Extreme climate; Population demography; Biodiversity threats; CLIMATE-CHANGE IMPACTS; MANGROVE FORESTS; RESPONSES; TEMPERATURE; CONSERVATION; RESILIENCE; MARINE; PRECIPITATION; INDEXES; TRENDS;
D O I
10.1007/s10584-023-03622-0
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Climate change is a multidimensional phenomenon. As such, no single metric can capture all trajectories of change and associated impacts. While numerous metrics exist to measure climate change, they tend to focus on central tendencies and neglect the multidimensionality of extreme weather events (EWEs). EWEs differ in their frequency, duration, and intensity, and can be described for temperature, precipitation, and wind speed, while considering different thresholds defining "extremeness." We review existing EWE metrics and outline a framework for classifying and interpreting them in light of their foreseeable impacts on biodiversity. Using an example drawn from the Caribbean and Central America, we show that metrics reflect unequal spatial patterns of exposure across the region. Based on available evidence, we discuss how such patterns relate to threats to biological populations, empirically demonstrating how ecologically informed metrics can help relate EWEs to biological processes such as mangrove recovery. Unveiling the complexity of EWE trajectories affecting biodiversity is only possible through mobilisation of a plethora of climate change metrics. The proposed framework represents a step forward over assessments using single dimensions or averages of highly variable time series.
引用
收藏
页数:25
相关论文
共 133 条
[1]   Compound climate extremes driving recent sub-continental tree mortality in northern Australia have no precedent in recent centuries [J].
Allen, Kathryn J. ;
Verdon-Kidd, Danielle C. ;
Sippo, James Z. ;
Baker, Patrick J. .
SCIENTIFIC REPORTS, 2021, 11 (01)
[2]   Drivers of mangrove vulnerability and resilience to tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic Basin [J].
Amaral, Cibele ;
Poulter, Benjamin ;
Lagomasino, David ;
Fatoyinbo, Temilola ;
Taillie, Paul ;
Lizcano, Gil ;
Canty, Steven ;
Silveira, Jorge Alfredo Herrera ;
Teutli-Hernandez, Claudia ;
Cifuentes-Jara, Miguel ;
Charles, Sean Patrick ;
Moreno, Claudia Shantal ;
Gonzalez-Trujillo, Juan David ;
Roman-Cuesta, Rosa Maria .
SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT, 2023, 898
[3]   Would environmental diversity be a good surrogate for species diversity? [J].
Araújo, MB ;
Humphries, CJ ;
Densham, PJ ;
Lampinen, R ;
Hagemeijer, WJM ;
Mitchell-Jones, AJ ;
Gasc, JP .
ECOGRAPHY, 2001, 24 (01) :103-110
[4]   Heat freezes niche evolution [J].
Araujo, Miguel B. ;
Ferri-Yanez, Francisco ;
Bozinovic, Francisco ;
Marquet, Pablo A. ;
Valladares, Fernando ;
Chown, Steven L. .
ECOLOGY LETTERS, 2013, 16 (09) :1206-1219
[5]   Global pressures, specific responses: effects of nutrient enrichment in streams from different biomes (vol 8, 014002, 2013) [J].
Artigas, Joan ;
Garcia-Berthou, Emili ;
Bauer, Delia E. ;
Castro, Maria I. ;
Cochero, Joaquin ;
Colautti, Dario C. ;
Cortelezzi, Agustina ;
Donato, John C. ;
Elosegi, Arturo ;
Feijoo, Claudia ;
Giorgi, Adonis ;
Gomez, Nora ;
Leggieri, Leonardo ;
Munoz, Isabel ;
Rodrigues-Capitulo, Alberto ;
Romani, Anna M. ;
Sabater, Sergi .
ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH LETTERS, 2013, 8 (01)
[6]   A novel approach to quantify and locate potential microrefugia using topoclimate, climate stability, and isolation from the matrix [J].
Ashcroft, Michael B. ;
Gollan, John R. ;
Warton, David I. ;
Ramp, Daniel .
GLOBAL CHANGE BIOLOGY, 2012, 18 (06) :1866-1879
[7]   Current and Future Climate Extremes Over Latin America and Caribbean: Assessing Earth System Models from High Resolution Model Intercomparison Project (HighResMIP) [J].
Avila-Diaz, Alvaro ;
Torres, Roger Rodrigues ;
Zuluaga, Cristian Felipe ;
Ceron, Wilmar L. ;
Oliveira, Lais ;
Benezoli, Victor ;
Rivera, Irma Ayes ;
Marengo, Jose Antonio ;
Wilson, Aaron B. ;
Medeiros, Felipe .
EARTH SYSTEMS AND ENVIRONMENT, 2023, 7 (01) :99-130
[8]   Habitat selection can reduce effects of extreme climatic events in a long-lived shorebird [J].
Bailey, Liam D. ;
Ens, Bruno J. ;
Both, Christiaan ;
Heg, Dik ;
Oosterbeek, Kees ;
van de Pol, Martijn .
JOURNAL OF ANIMAL ECOLOGY, 2019, 88 (10) :1474-1485
[9]   Climate change and coral reef bleaching: An ecological assessment of long-term impacts, recovery trends and future outlook [J].
Baker, Andrew C. ;
Glynn, Peter W. ;
Riegl, Bernhard .
ESTUARINE COASTAL AND SHELF SCIENCE, 2008, 80 (04) :435-471
[10]   Evaluation of multiple reanalyses in reproducing the spatio-temporal variability of temperature and precipitation indices over southern South America [J].
Balmaceda-Huarte, Rocio ;
Olmo, Matias Ezequiel ;
Bettolli, Maria Laura ;
Poggi, Maria Mercedes .
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2021, 41 (12) :5572-5595