Stochastic SVIS epidemic model;
Ergodic stationary distribution;
Fokker-Planck equation;
Density function analysis;
Extinction;
LOGISTIC GROWTH;
GLOBAL DYNAMICS;
AVIAN INFLUENZA;
STABILITY;
BEHAVIOR;
BIFURCATION;
D O I:
10.1007/s12064-023-00392-2
中图分类号:
Q [生物科学];
学科分类号:
07 ;
0710 ;
09 ;
摘要:
In this article, we study the dynamical properties of susceptible-vaccinated-infected-susceptible (SVIS) epidemic system with saturated incidence rate and vaccination strategies. By constructing the suitable Lyapunov function, we examine the existence and uniqueness of the stochastic system. With the help of Khas'minskii theory, we set up a critical value R-s* with respect to the basic reproduction number R* of the deterministic system. A unique ergodic stationary distribution is investigated under the condition of R-s* > 1. In the epidemiological study, the ergodic stationary distribution represents that the disease will persist for long-term behavior. We focus for developing the general three-dimensional Fokker-Planck equation using appropriate solving theories. Around the quasi-endemic equilibrium, the probability density function of the stochastic system is analyzed which is the main theme of our study. Under R-s* > 1, both the existence of ergodic stationary distribution and density function can elicit all the dynamical behavior of the disease persistence. The condition of disease extinction of the system is derived. For supporting theoretical study, we discuss the numerical results and the sensitivities of the biological parameters. Results and conclusions are highlighted.
机构:
City Univ Hong Kong, Dept Math, Kowloon, Tat Chee Ave, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaCity Univ Hong Kong, Dept Math, Kowloon, Tat Chee Ave, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
Liu, Yue
Wei, Jize
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机构:
Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Appl Math, Hung Hom, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaCity Univ Hong Kong, Dept Math, Kowloon, Tat Chee Ave, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
机构:
Hunan Univ Technol, Coll Sci, Zhuzhou 412007, Peoples R ChinaHunan Univ Technol, Coll Sci, Zhuzhou 412007, Peoples R China
Song, Yuqin
Liu, Peijiang
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机构:
Guangdong Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Stat & Math, Big Data & Educ Stat Applicat Lab, Guangzhou 510320, Peoples R ChinaHunan Univ Technol, Coll Sci, Zhuzhou 412007, Peoples R China
Liu, Peijiang
Din, Anwarud
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机构:
Sun Yat Sen Univ, Dept Math, Guangzhou 510275, Peoples R ChinaHunan Univ Technol, Coll Sci, Zhuzhou 412007, Peoples R China
机构:
Xinjiang Med Univ, Dept Med Engn & Technol, Urumqi 830017, Peoples R ChinaXinjiang Med Univ, Dept Med Engn & Technol, Urumqi 830017, Peoples R China
Wang, Lei
Gao, Chunjie
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机构:
Xinjiang Med Univ, Coll Publ Hlth, Urumqi 830017, Peoples R ChinaXinjiang Med Univ, Dept Med Engn & Technol, Urumqi 830017, Peoples R China
Gao, Chunjie
Rifhat, Ramziya
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机构:
Xinjiang Med Univ, Dept Med Engn & Technol, Urumqi 830017, Peoples R ChinaXinjiang Med Univ, Dept Med Engn & Technol, Urumqi 830017, Peoples R China
Rifhat, Ramziya
Wang, Kai
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机构:
Xinjiang Med Univ, Dept Med Engn & Technol, Urumqi 830017, Peoples R ChinaXinjiang Med Univ, Dept Med Engn & Technol, Urumqi 830017, Peoples R China
Wang, Kai
Teng, Zhidong
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Xinjiang Med Univ, Dept Med Engn & Technol, Urumqi 830017, Peoples R ChinaXinjiang Med Univ, Dept Med Engn & Technol, Urumqi 830017, Peoples R China
机构:
City Univ Hong Kong, Dept Math, Kowloon, Tat Chee Ave, Hong Kong, Peoples R ChinaCity Univ Hong Kong, Dept Math, Kowloon, Tat Chee Ave, Hong Kong, Peoples R China
机构:
Univ Madras, Ramanujan Inst Adv Study Math, Chennai 600005, Tamil Nadu, India
Govt Arts Coll Women, Dept Math, Nilakottai 624202, Tamil Nadu, IndiaUniv Madras, Ramanujan Inst Adv Study Math, Chennai 600005, Tamil Nadu, India
Rajasekar, S. P.
Pitchaimani, M.
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Univ Madras, Ramanujan Inst Adv Study Math, Chennai 600005, Tamil Nadu, IndiaUniv Madras, Ramanujan Inst Adv Study Math, Chennai 600005, Tamil Nadu, India