This paper uses detailed stroke-by-stroke data from seven tennis Grand Slam tournaments played between 20 06 and 2007 to assess whether men and women respond differently to competitive pressure in a setting with large monetary rewards. At crucial junctures of the match, both men and women adopt a less aggressive playing strategy, meaning that the probability of hitting winning shots and making unforced errors decreases. The conclusion that the playing strategy becomes less aggressive is supported by new instant-by-instant data on the location of strokes: on more important points, players hit strokes that are closer to the center of the court, and clear the net by a higher margin. I argue that, given the observed frequencies of hitting winning shots and unforced errors, moving to a less aggressive strategy represents a deterioration in performance. For both men and women, the probability that a player wins a match against an opponent of equal quality would increase from 0.5 up to as much as 0.75-0.80 if they could play as aggressively on the more important points as on the less important ones. Sensitivity analysis shows that even a modest improvement in performance on more important points could lead to a sizeable increase in match winning probabilities. (c) 2023 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
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Univ Ljubljana, Fac Sport, Gortanova 22, SI-1000 Ljubljana, SloveniaUniv Ljubljana, Fac Sport, Gortanova 22, SI-1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia
Filipcic, Ales
Leskosek, Bojan
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Univ Ljubljana, Fac Sport, Gortanova 22, SI-1000 Ljubljana, SloveniaUniv Ljubljana, Fac Sport, Gortanova 22, SI-1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia
Leskosek, Bojan
Munivrana, Goran
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Univ Split, Fac Kinesiol, Split, Croatia
Sports Sci & Med Comm, Int Table Tennis Federat, Lausanne, SwitzerlandUniv Ljubljana, Fac Sport, Gortanova 22, SI-1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia
Munivrana, Goran
Ochiana, Gabriela
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Vasile Alecsandri Univ Bacau, Fac Movement Sports & Hlth Sci, Bacau, RomaniaUniv Ljubljana, Fac Sport, Gortanova 22, SI-1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia
Ochiana, Gabriela
Filipcic, Tjasa
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Univ Ljubljana, Fac Educ, Ljubljana, SloveniaUniv Ljubljana, Fac Sport, Gortanova 22, SI-1000 Ljubljana, Slovenia
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Vrije Univ Brussel, Movement & Sport Sci, Brussels, BelgiumVrije Univ Brussel, Movement & Sport Sci, Brussels, Belgium
Li, Pingwei
Weissensteiner, Juanita R.
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New South Wales Off Sport, Sect Performance, Talent Pathways, Sydney Olymp Pk, Sydney, NSW, AustraliaVrije Univ Brussel, Movement & Sport Sci, Brussels, Belgium
Weissensteiner, Juanita R.
Pion, Johan
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HAN Univ Appl Sci, Sport & Exercise Studies, Nijmegen, Netherlands
Univ Ghent, Dept Movement & Sport Sci, Ghent, BelgiumVrije Univ Brussel, Movement & Sport Sci, Brussels, Belgium
Pion, Johan
De Bosscher, Veerle
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Vrije Univ Brussel, Movement & Sport Sci, Brussels, BelgiumVrije Univ Brussel, Movement & Sport Sci, Brussels, Belgium
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Univ Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003 USAUniv Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003 USA
Ganguli, Ina
Hausmann, Ricardo
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Harvard Univ, Ctr Int Dev, Harvard Kennedy Sch, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
Santa Fe Inst, Santa Fe, NM 87501 USAUniv Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003 USA
Hausmann, Ricardo
Viarengo, Martina
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Grad Inst, Geneva, Switzerland
Harvard Univ, Ctr Int Dev, Cambridge, MA 02138 USA
CESifo, Munich, Germany
IZA, Bonn, GermanyUniv Massachusetts, Amherst, MA 01003 USA
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Univ Murcia, Fac Sport Sci, Dept Phys Act & Sport, C Argentina,S-N, San Javier 30720, SpainUniv Murcia, Fac Sport Sci, Dept Phys Act & Sport, C Argentina,S-N, San Javier 30720, Spain
Sanchez-Pay, Alejandro
Sanz-Rivas, David
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Tennis Res Grp, Madrid 28080, SpainUniv Murcia, Fac Sport Sci, Dept Phys Act & Sport, C Argentina,S-N, San Javier 30720, Spain
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Univ Santiago de Compostela, Dept Stat & Operat Res, Santiago De Compostela, SpainUniv Santiago de Compostela, Dept Stat & Operat Res, Santiago De Compostela, Spain
Gonzalez-Diaz, Julio
Gossner, Olivier
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Paris Sch Econ, Paris, France
London Sch Econ, London, EnglandUniv Santiago de Compostela, Dept Stat & Operat Res, Santiago De Compostela, Spain
Gossner, Olivier
Rogers, Brian W.
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Northwestern Univ, Kellogg Sch Management, MEDS, Evanston, IL 60208 USA
Northwestern Univ, NICO, Evanston, IL 60208 USAUniv Santiago de Compostela, Dept Stat & Operat Res, Santiago De Compostela, Spain