ardl: Estimating autoregressive distributed lag and equilibrium correction models

被引:51
作者
Kripfganz, Sebastian [1 ]
Schneider, Daniel C. [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Exeter, Business Sch, Exeter, England
[2] Max Planck Inst Demog Res, Rostock, Germany
关键词
st0734; ardl; ardl postestimation; autoregressive distributed lag model; error-correction model; bounds test; long-run relationship; cointegration; timeseries data; ECONOMIC-GROWTH; ENERGY-CONSUMPTION; TIME-SERIES; ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION; ERROR-CORRECTION; EXCHANGE-RATES; COINTEGRATION; INVESTMENT; AUSTRALIA; CAUSALITY;
D O I
10.1177/1536867X231212434
中图分类号
O1 [数学]; C [社会科学总论];
学科分类号
03 ; 0303 ; 0701 ; 070101 ;
摘要
We present a command, ardl, for the estimation of autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models in a time-series context. The ardl command can be used to fit an ARDL model with the optimal number of autoregressive and distributed lags based on the Akaike or Bayesian (Schwarz) information criterion. The regression results can be displayed in the ARDL levels form or in the error-correction representation of the model. The latter separates long-run and short-run effects and is available in two different parameterizations of the long-run (cointegrating) relationship. The popular bounds-testing procedure for the existence of a long-run levels relationship is implemented as a postestimation feature. Comprehensive critical values and approximate p-values obtained from response-surface regressions facilitate statistical inference.
引用
收藏
页码:983 / 1019
页数:37
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