A novel single-loop simulation algorithm combined with adaptive Kriging model for estimating the system failure probability function with multi-dimensional distribution parameter

被引:0
|
作者
Chen, Yizhou [1 ]
Lu, Zhenzhou [1 ]
Feng, Kaixuan [1 ]
机构
[1] Northwestern Polytech Univ, Sch Aeronaut, State Key Lab Clean & Efficient Turbomachinery Pow, Xian 710072, Shaanxi, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金; 中国博士后科学基金;
关键词
Multi-failure-mode system; Failure probability function; Sampling probability density function; Single-loop numerical simulation; Adaptive Kriging model; RELIABILITY-BASED OPTIMIZATION; DESIGN OPTIMIZATION; SENSITIVITY; INTERVAL;
D O I
10.1007/s00158-023-03725-3
中图分类号
TP39 [计算机的应用];
学科分类号
081203 ; 0835 ;
摘要
For the multi-failure-mode system with multi-dimensional distribution parameter, estimating system failure probability function (SFPF) is essential to grasp the influence of the distribution parameter on system failure probability and decouple the reliability-based design optimization model constrained by system failure probability. However, there is still a significant challenge in efficiently estimating the SFPF at present. Therefore, an efficient and universal algorithm is proposed in this paper for estimating the SFPF. In the proposed algorithm, a unified sampling probability density function, which is independent with the distribution parameter, is originally constructed by the integration operation over the concerned design domain of the distribution parameter, on which a single-loop numerical simulation can be formulated to simultaneously estimate the SFPF at arbitrary realization of multi-dimensional distribution parameter. Since the single-loop method is used to replace the direct double-loop one in the proposed algorithm, the computational efficiency is greatly improved in estimating the SFPF. Additionally, the proposed algorithm has no restriction on the dimensionality and the concerned design domain of the distribution parameter, and an adaptive Kriging model of the system performance function is embedded to help the proposed algorithm further improve the computational efficiency. A new adaptive learning strategy, which considers the possible correlations among the multi-failure-mode Kriging models, is presented using the probability of the multi-failure-mode Kriging model misjudging the candidate sample state. The superiority of the proposed algorithm in terms of single-loop numerical simulation and the new learning strategy over the existing methods is fully demonstrated by numerical and engineering examples.
引用
收藏
页数:23
相关论文
共 3 条
  • [1] A novel single-loop simulation algorithm combined with adaptive Kriging model for estimating the system failure probability function with multi-dimensional distribution parameter
    Yizhou Chen
    Zhenzhou Lu
    Kaixuan Feng
    Structural and Multidisciplinary Optimization, 2024, 67
  • [2] A novel single-loop meta-model importance sampling with adaptive Kriging for time-dependent failure probability function
    Lu, Yixin
    Lu, Zhenzhou
    STRUCTURAL AND MULTIDISCIPLINARY OPTIMIZATION, 2023, 66 (04)
  • [3] Meta model-based importance sampling combined with adaptive Kriging method for estimating failure probability function
    Lu, Yixin
    Lu, Zhenzhou
    Feng, Kaixuan
    Zhang, Xiaobo
    AEROSPACE SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY, 2024, 151