Assessment of shelter location-allocation for multi-hazard emergency evacuation

被引:20
作者
Bera, Somnath [1 ,2 ]
Gnyawali, Kaushal [3 ]
Dahal, Kshitij [4 ]
Melo, Raquel [5 ,6 ]
Li -Juan, Miao [7 ]
Guru, Balamurugan [8 ]
Ramana, G., V [1 ]
机构
[1] Indian Inst Technol Delhi, Dept Civil Engn, New Delhi 110016, India
[2] Cent Univ South Bihar, Sch Earth Biol & Environm Sci, Dept Geog, Patna, India
[3] Univ British Columbia, Sch Engn, Kelowna, BC, Canada
[4] Himalayan Risk Res Inst, Nat Hazards Sect, Bhaktapur, Nepal
[5] Univ Lisbon, Inst Geog & Spatial Planning, Ctr Geog Studies, Lisbon, Portugal
[6] Univ Evora, Inst Earth Sci, Sch Sci & Technol, Evora, Portugal
[7] Nanjing Univ Informat Sci & Technol, Sch Geog Sci, Nanjing 210044, Peoples R China
[8] Cent Univ Tamil Nadu, Sch Earth Sci, Dept Geol, Thiruvarur, India
关键词
Landslides; Floods; Pedestrian evacuation; Shelter location-allocation; Google earth engine; Random forest; RANDOM FOREST; MODEL; AREA; TREE;
D O I
10.1016/j.ijdrr.2022.103435
中图分类号
P [天文学、地球科学];
学科分类号
07 ;
摘要
Intense rainstorms often trigger multiple disasters in mountain regions, such as floods and land-slides. In disaster planning, the local administration allocates nearby schools or open fields as emergency evacuation shelters. However, access to these shelters is often cut off for certain popu-lation clusters during disaster impact on routes. We develop a framework for selecting emergency evacuation shelter locations for multi-disaster impact planning (floods and landslides). The framework consists of two parts. Firstly, we develop susceptibility maps of individual hazards us-ing Random Forest algorithm and Google earth engine. Secondly, we assess the shelter's location -allocation by implementing two models in GIS: P-median and maximal covering location prob-lem. Our framework treats existing schools as evacuation shelters and individual households as demand points in an emergency. The P-median method finds the shelter locations by minimizing maximum distances between the households. The maximal covering location problem method evaluates the coverage of households by the facilities of the evacuation shelters within an imped-ance cutoff. We tested our work in a mountainous village in the Western Ghat region, India, by recreating the 2005 rainstorm disaster that caused more than 190 fatalities and damaged 400 households. The result shows that existing shelters are insufficient to provide services to all households within 30 min and 60 min. This methodology helps develop simultaneous-hazard im-pact plans by local administration units in mountain regions to ensure emergency facilities' safe operation.
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页数:12
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