Prediction significance of autophagy-related genes in survival probability and drug resistance in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

Background/Aims: Diffuse large B -cell lymphoma (DLBCL), the most common subtype of non -Hodgkin lymphoma, has significant prognostic heterogeneity. This study aimed to generate a prognostic prediction model based on autophagy-related genes for DLBCL patients. Methods: Utilizing bioinformatics techniques, we analyzed the clinical information and transcriptome data of DLBCL patients from the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) database. Through unsupervised clustering, we identified new autophagy-related molecular subtypes and pinpointed differentially expressed genes (DEGs) between these subtypes. Based on these DEGs, a prognostic model was constructed using Cox and Lasso regression. The effectiveness, accuracy, and clinical utility of this prognostic model were assessed using numerous independent validation cohorts, survival analyses, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, multivariate Cox regression analysis, nomograms, and calibration curves. Moreover, functional analysis, immune cell infiltration, and drug sensitivity analysis were performed. Results: DLBCL patients with different clinical characterizations (age, molecular subtypes, ECOG scores, and stages) showed different expression features of autophagy-related genes. The prediction model was constructed based on the eight autophagy-related genes (ADD3, IGFBP3, TPM1, LYZ, AFDN, DNAJC10, GLIS3, and CCDC102A). The prognostic nomogram for overall survival of DLBCL patients incorporated risk level, stage, ECOG scores, and molecular subtypes, showing excellent agreement between observed and predicted outcomes. Differences were noted in the proportions of immune cells (native B cells, Treg cells, CD8+ T cell, CD4+ memory activated T cells, gamma delta T cells, macrophages M1, and resting mast cells) between high -risk and low -risk groups. LYZ and ADD3 exhibited correlations with drug resistance to most chemotherapeutic drugs. Conclusions: This study established a novel prognostic assessment model based on the expression profile of autophagy-related genes and clinical characteristics of DLBCL patients, explored immune infiltration and predicted drug resistance, which may guide precise and individualized immunochemotherapy regimens.