An ocean-wave-trajectory forecasting system for the eastern Baltic Sea: Validation against drifting buoys and implementation for oil spill modeling

被引：4

作者：

Part, Siim ^{[1
]}

Bjortqvist, Jan-Victor ^{[2
,3
]}

Alari, Victor ^{[1
]}

Maljutenko, Ilja ^{[1
]}

Uiboupin, Rivo ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Tallinn Univ Technol, Dept Marine Syst, Akad Tee 15A, EE-12618 Tallinn, Estonia

[2] Norwegian Meteorol Inst, Allegaten 70, N-5007 Bergen, Norway

[3] Finnish Meteorol Inst, Erik Palmenin Aukio 1, FIN-00560 Helsinki, Finland

来源：

MARINE POLLUTION BULLETIN | 2023年 / 195卷

关键词：

Trajectory modeling; Oil spill modeling; Baltic Sea; OpenDrift; Drifting buoys; Hypothetical oil spills; COASTAL REGIONS; RISK-ASSESSMENT; MEDSLIK-II; WIND; TRANSPORT; DRIFTERS; GULF; SWAN;

D O I：

10.1016/j.marpolbul.2023.115497

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

We present the implementation and validation of OpenDrift, an open-source Lagrangian particle trajectory modeling framework for oil spill modeling in the coastal waters of Estonia in the Baltic Sea. The framework was coupled with ECMWF winds, NEMO-EST05 hydrodynamical model, and SWAN-EST wave model, and validated using six drift experiments from 2022. The sensitivity analysis revealed the importance of incorporating additional forcing factors, such as Stokes drift and currents, which generally improved the accuracy of the trajectory model compared to using wind alone. Nevertheless, the benefits of providing OpenDrift with, for example, the Stokes drift seemed to depend on whether currents are also included or not. The wind drift factors of the utilized drifters align closely with those commonly employed in oil spill modeling. Furthermore, the modeling results for hypothetical oil spills in severe weather conditions and high-risk regions emphasize the critical need for preparedness and rapid response strategies.

引用

页数：13