Dynamics and density function of a stochastic differential infectivity epidemic model with Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process

被引:6
作者
Shi, Zhenfeng [1 ,2 ]
Jiang, Daqing [1 ,3 ]
机构
[1] China Univ Petr, Coll Sci, Qingdao, Shandong, Peoples R China
[2] Northeast Normal Univ, Sch Math & Stat, Key Lab Appl Stat MOE, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R China
[3] China Univ Petr, Coll Sci, Qingdao 266580, Shandong, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
density function; differential infectivity epidemic model; exponential extinction; Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process; persistence in the mean; NUMERICAL-SIMULATION; THRESHOLD; BEHAVIOR; SIR; TRANSMISSION;
D O I
10.1002/mma.8901
中图分类号
O29 [应用数学];
学科分类号
070104 ;
摘要
This paper considers a stochastic hybrid differential infectivity epidemic model with standard incidence perturbed by mean-reverting Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. Applying Lyapunov method, we first show existence and uniqueness of the global solution. Then sufficient conditions for persistence in the mean and exponential extinction of the infectious disease are obtained. Furthermore, by solving the corresponding Fokker-Planck equation, we derive that the global solution around the endemic equilibrium follows a unique probability density function. Finally, numerical simulations are employed to demonstrate the analytical results.
引用
收藏
页码:6245 / 6261
页数:17
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