Tuberculosis Prevention Treatment Trend Related to Covid-19 Pandemic in Asia during 2016-2021: A Secondary Data Analysis

被引:0
|
作者
Afwina, Husnia Tahta [1 ]
Adi, Mateus Sakundarno [2 ]
Widjanarko, Bagoes [2 ]
机构
[1] Diponegoro Univ, Hlth Promot Program, Semarang, Indonesia
[2] Diponegoro Univ, Fac Publ Hlth, Semarang, Indonesia
关键词
Tuberculosis Preventive Treatment (TPT); Trend Analysis; Covid-19; Pandemic;
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中图分类号
R19 [保健组织与事业(卫生事业管理)];
学科分类号
摘要
Background: Since the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic, there has been a global increase in Tuberculosis service disruptions. However, the impacts of the pandemic on Tuberculosis Prevention Treatment (TPT) implementation have not been explored further. This study is aimed to identification the trend of TPT Coverage three period before, during and after the Covid-19 Pandemic. Method: This study used descriptive quantitative study with Trend Analysis approach using secondary Data. Data collected through the Global Tuberculosis Report from 2016 to 2021 in Asia. Data processing is done using trend analysis with linear and quadrat models. MSE, MAPE, MAD and MSD were required to determine the best model for the forecasting trend analysis. Results: Linear Yt: 198,287.5 + 26,283.1 (X), MSE= 1550927073.2, MAPE= 0.019, MAD= 23470, and MSD= 1033951382. Linear trend analysis is the best model for TPT Coverage trend analysis. Result shows TPT coverage has a positive trend around 2016 to 2019, hence decline in 2020 and increase again in 2021. Forecasting for 2022-2024 there are an expand constantly, with an average increase of 144,557 individuals. Conclusion: TPT administration trend analysis yields positive results. The TPT trend increased prior to the Covid-19 Pandemic, but reduced during the Covid-19 Pandemic. TPT provision is expected to increase following the Covid-19 Pandemic.
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页数:154
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