White blood cell count nadir to zero following intensive chemotherapy as a predictive factor for patients with acute myeloid leukemia

Predictors for response to intensive therapy in AML have focused on baseline factors: percent leukemic blasts in marrow, cytogenetic/molecular genetic abnormalities, and presence of secondary AML. Non-baseline dynamic factors, occurring after induction but before response, may be useful for decisions related to salvage chemotherapy. We hypothesized white blood cell (WBC) count nadir after induction may be a real time indicator of treatment efficacy. We also examined whether time to stem cell transplant (SCT) or baseline molecular genetic abnormalities are associated with a low nadir. Data showed WBC nadir = 0 was a negative predictor for response to intensive induction and was correlated with reduced overall survival and progression free survival. Patients with WBC nadir = 0 did not have a significantly longer time to SCT, and none of the mutations increased the likelihood of reaching WBC nadir = 0. WBC nadir may be a useful real-time monitor in AML patients receiving intensive induction chemotherapy.