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Modelling and forecasting volatility with high-frequency and VIX information: a component realized EGARCH model with VIX
被引:0
|作者:
Wu, Xinyu
[1
]
Xia, Michelle
[2
]
Li, Xindan
[3
]
机构:
[1] Anhui Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Finance, 962 Caoshan Rd, Bengbu, Anhui, Peoples R China
[2] Northern Illinois Univ, Dept Stat & Actuarial Sci, De Kalb, IL 60115 USA
[3] Nanjing Univ, Sch Management & Engn, Nanjing, Peoples R China
基金:
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词:
Realized EGARCH;
components volatility structure;
high-frequency information;
VIX;
volatility forecasting;
VALUE-AT-RISK;
IMPLIED VOLATILITY;
LONG-MEMORY;
QUANTILE FORECASTS;
ASSET RETURNS;
STOCK;
PREDICTION;
EXCHANGE;
D O I:
10.1080/00036846.2022.2102570
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
This paper studies the joint use of high-frequency and VIX information to model and forecast volatility. Our framework relies on an extension of the realized EGARCH (REGARCH) model, namely the component REGARCH model with VIX (hereafter REGARCH(C)-VIX). The REGARCH(C)-VIX model facilitates exploitation of the high-frequency and VIX information through the inclusion of realized measure and VIX for modelling and forecasting volatility. Moreover, the model features a component volatility structure, which has the ability to capture the long memory volatility. An empirical investigation with the S&P 500 index shows that the REGARCH(C)-VIX model outperforms a variety of competing models in both empirical fit and out-of-sample volatility forecasting. Our findings provide strong evidence for including the high-frequency and VIX information as well as the component volatility structure to model and forecast volatility.
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页码:2273 / 2291
页数:19
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