Exchange Rates in Emerging Markets in the First Wave of the Covid-19 Pandemic

被引:2
作者
Kohrt, Leon [1 ,2 ]
Horky, Florian [1 ]
Fidrmuc, Jarko [1 ,3 ,4 ]
机构
[1] Zeppelin Univ Friedrichshafen, Dept Econ, Friedrichshafen, Germany
[2] Univ Cambridge, Fac Econ, Cambridge, England
[3] Vilnius Univ, Fac Econ & Business Adm, Vilnius, Lithuania
[4] Mendel Univ Brno, Fac Business & Econ, Brno, Czech Republic
关键词
Emerging markets; behavioral equilibrium exchange rates; pandemic effects; Covid-19; PMGE; UNCONVENTIONAL MONETARY-POLICY; INVESTOR SENTIMENT; LONG-RUN; REAL; IMPACT; SHOCKS; PANEL; DETERMINANTS; PRICES; FLIGHT;
D O I
10.1080/00128775.2022.2074461
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We analyze the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on emerging market real exchange rates using a Behavioral Equilibrium Exchange Rate approach augmented by pandemic variables. We show that behavioral factors related to Covid-19 played a significant role in explaining the behavior of emerging market real exchange rates during the first wave of the pandemic. The real exchange rates were driven by the number of new Covid-19 deaths rather than by the number of new infections. These results are robust for different country samples.
引用
收藏
页码:165 / 186
页数:22
相关论文
共 82 条
[21]   Common correlated effects estimation of heterogeneous dynamic panel data models with weakly exogenous regressors [J].
Chudik, Alexander ;
Pesaran, M. Hashem .
JOURNAL OF ECONOMETRICS, 2015, 188 (02) :393-420
[22]   Weak and strong cross-section dependence and estimation of large panels [J].
Chudik, Alexander ;
Pesaran, M. Hashem ;
Tosetti, Elisa .
ECONOMETRICS JOURNAL, 2011, 14 (01) :C45-C90
[23]  
Clark P.B., 1999, EQUILIBRIUM EXCHANGE, DOI 10.1007/978-94-011-4411-7_10
[24]  
Cleveland RB., 1990, J. Off. Stat., V6, P3, DOI DOI 10.1007/978-1-4613-4499-5_24
[25]   Shaking Stability: COVID-19 Impact on the Visegrad Group Countries' Financial Markets [J].
Czech, Katarzyna ;
Wielechowski, Michal ;
Kotyza, Pavel ;
Benesova, Irena ;
Laputkova, Adriana .
SUSTAINABILITY, 2020, 12 (15)
[26]  
Davis S.J., 2016, NATL BUREAU EC RES, DOI [10.3386/w22740, DOI 10.3386/W22740]
[27]   The behavior of currencies during risk-off episodes [J].
De Bock, Reinout ;
Filho, Irineu de Carvalho .
JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE, 2015, 53 :218-234
[28]   Does a big bazooka matter? Quantitative easing policies and exchange rates [J].
Dedola, Luca ;
Georgiadis, Georgios ;
Grab, Johannes ;
Mehl, Arnaud .
JOURNAL OF MONETARY ECONOMICS, 2021, 117 :489-506
[29]   Transmission of the US subprime crisis to emerging markets: Evidence on the decoupling-recoupling hypothesis [J].
Dooley, Michael ;
Hutchison, Michael .
JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL MONEY AND FINANCE, 2009, 28 (08) :1331-1349
[30]   Between the hammer and the anvil: The impact of economic sanctions and oil prices on Russia's ruble [J].
Dreger, Christian ;
Kholodilin, Konstantin A. ;
Ulbricht, Dirk ;
Fidrmuc, Jarko .
JOURNAL OF COMPARATIVE ECONOMICS, 2016, 44 (02) :295-308