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Do individuals expect the Phillips curve? Evidence from the European Consumer Expectations Survey
被引:1
作者:
Kirpson, Gerda
[1
,2
]
Staehr, Karsten
[1
,2
]
机构:
[1] Bank Estonia, Estonia Pst 13, EE-15095 Tallinn, Estonia
[2] Tallinn Univ Technol, EE-12618 Tallinn, Estonia
关键词:
Expectations;
Inflation;
Phillips curve;
Survey;
D O I:
10.1016/j.econlet.2023.111430
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
Are the expectations of individuals in Europe consistent with the Phillips curve? To investigate we run panel estimations on micro data from the European Consumer Expectations Survey. The estimations reveal a relationship between expected inflation and economic slack. This lack of consistency with the Phillips holds even when proxies for supply shocks are included.
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