Effects of the Colombia Peace negotiation process on gross domestic product per capita

被引：0

作者：

Fanta, Javiera ^{[1
]}

Larramona, Gemma ^{[2
,3
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Nacl Cordoba, Av Haya Torre, Cordoba, Argentina

[2] Univ Zaragoza, Zaragoza, Spain

[3] Univ Zaragoza, Gran Via 2, Zaragoza, Spain

来源：

LATIN AMERICAN POLICY | 2023年 / 14卷 / 04期

关键词：

Colombia Peace Treaty; gross domestic product; synthetic control method; CONFLICT;

D O I：

10.1111/lamp.12316

中图分类号：

D0 [政治学、政治理论];

学科分类号：

0302 ; 030201 ;

摘要：

This article attempts to determine whether the peace negotiation process initiated in Colombia that culminated with the Peace Treaty in 2016 had a positive economic effect, using the National Gross Domestic Product per capita as a measure. We apply a synthetic control method that is appropriate for a policy evaluation. Considering the anticipated and realized effects on economic variables, our results suggest that the Peace Treaty has positively influenced gross domestic product per capita. Furthermore, this positive effect has been maintained through 2021, the last available year of data. Data to 2021 show post-pandemic Colombia is better off when compared with a hypothetical Colombia-or synthetic Colombia-that did not begin a peace negotiation process.

引用

页码：568 / 579

页数：12