Prediction of therapeutic response of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma to hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy based on pretherapeutic MRI radiomics and Albumin-Bilirubin score

Purpose To construct and validate a combined nomogram model based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics and Albumin-Bilirubin (ALBI) score to predict therapeutic response in unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients treated with hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC). Methods The retrospective study was conducted on 112 unresectable HCC patients who underwent pretherapeutic MRI examinations. Patients were randomly divided into training (n = 79) and validation cohorts (n = 33). A total of 396 radiomics features were extracted from the volume of interest of the primary lesion by the Artificial Kit software. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression was applied to identify optimal radiomic features. After feature selection, three models, including the clinical, radiomics, and combined models, were developed to predict the non-response of unresectable HCC to HAIC treatment. The performance of these models was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic curve. According to the most efficient model, a nomogram was established, and the performance of which was also assessed by calibration curve and decision curve analysis. Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank test were performed to evaluate the Progression-free survival (PFS). Results Using the LASSO regression, we ultimately selected three radiomics features from T2-weighted images to construct the radiomics score (Radscore). Only the ALBI score was an independent factor associated with non-response in the clinical model (P = 0.033). The combined model, which included the ALBI score and Radscore, achieved better performance in the prediction of non-response, with an AUC of 0.79 (95% CI 0.68-0.90) and 0.75 (95% CI 0.58-0.92) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The nomogram based on the combined model also had good discrimination and calibration (P = 0.519 for the training cohort and P = 0.389 for the validation cohort). The Kaplan-Meier analysis also demonstrate that the high-score patients had significantly shorter PFS than the low-score patients (P = 0.031) in the combined model, with median PFS 6.0 vs 9.0 months. Conclusion The nomogram based on the combined model consisting of MRI radiomics and ALBI score could be used as a biomarker to predict the therapeutic response of unresectable HCC after HAIC.