Disruptive technologies and future societies: Perspectives and forecasts based on Q-methodology

被引:7
作者
Choi, Seonmi [1 ]
Moon, M. Jae [2 ]
机构
[1] Audit & Inspect Res Inst, Seoul, South Korea
[2] Yonsei Univ, Inst Future Govt Studies, Dept Publ Policy & Management, Yonsei, South Korea
基金
新加坡国家研究基金会;
关键词
Disruptive technologies; Future societies; Korea; Social changes; Q-methodology; QUALITY-OF-LIFE; BIG DATA; INTERNET; SYSTEM;
D O I
10.1016/j.futures.2022.103059
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
Based on Q-methodology, this study analyzes public perceptions of disruptive technologies and their impact on future social changes. It presents four competing perspectives on the relationship between technology and social change and four types of perceptions of the future of society. Type 1, the gradual optimism perspective, is characterized by human-centeredness, optimism, and gradual changes. Type 2, the disruptive pessimism perspective, predicts that the future of society will be technologically deterministic, pessimistic, chaotic, and disruptive. Type 3, the contingent optimism perspective, anticipates that in addition to technology, other external factors will influence social change. Type 4, the social shaping of technology perspective, contends that recent economic polarization will further intensify with technological developments.
引用
收藏
页数:15
相关论文
共 113 条
[1]  
Aldama-Nalda A., 2012, 13th Annual International Digital Government Research Conference: Bridging Research and Practice, P289, DOI DOI 10.1145/2307729.2307789
[2]  
[Anonymous], 2005, The Singularity Is Near: When Humans Transcend Biology
[3]  
Bagguley P., 2016, Riotous citizens: Ethnic conflict in multicultural Britain
[4]   From theoretical to actual ecosystem services: mapping beneficiaries and spatial flows in ecosystem service assessments [J].
Bagstad, Kenneth J. ;
Villa, Ferdinando ;
Batker, David ;
Harrison-Cox, Jennifer ;
Voigt, Brian ;
Johnson, Gary W. .
ECOLOGY AND SOCIETY, 2014, 19 (02)
[5]  
Bak R, 2013, ARCH BUDO SCI MARTIA, V9, P17
[6]  
BELL D, 1973, AM SCHOLAR, V42, P385
[7]  
Bernell David., 2016, ENERGY SECURITY DILE
[8]   Corporations as social change agents: Individual, interpersonal, institutional, and environmental dynamics [J].
Bies, Robert J. ;
Bartunek, Jean M. ;
Fort, Timothy L. ;
Zald, Mayer N. .
ACADEMY OF MANAGEMENT REVIEW, 2007, 32 (03) :788-793
[9]   MARX,KARL AND THE 3 FACES OF TECHNOLOGICAL DETERMINISM [J].
BIMBER, B .
SOCIAL STUDIES OF SCIENCE, 1990, 20 (02) :333-351
[10]  
Bloem J., 2014, 4 IND REVOLUTION THI